Basketball · Brazil FPB · 20/08, 00:30
Prediction: Bauru vs Sao Jose
Prediction summary
Estimated points
153Total
Bauru80.2
Sao Jose72.8
1X2
Bauru
Sao Jose
Recent form · 10 last
Bauru
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Sao Jose
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bauru
2–4
Sao Jose
(6 last)
- Sao Jose71-96Bauru
- Bauru84-91Sao Jose
- Sao Jose68-57Bauru
- Sao Jose88-65Bauru
- Bauru84-77Sao Jose
- Sao Jose83-71Bauru
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bauru 1473 · Sao Jose 1465
| Bauru | Sao Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
153 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · +1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points153Bauru 80.2 · Sao Jose 72.8
Match keys
- Bauru is a clear favourite (70% market).
- H2H favours Sao Jose: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Bauru | Sao Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.2 / 78.6 | 77.5 / 79.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 69.8 / 69.4 | 79.6 / 80.4 |
| Est. result | 80 | 73 |
Est. total153
Line O/U151.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bauru 2–0–4 Sao Jose
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Brazil NBB | Sao Jose | 71-96 | Bauru |
| 03/12/25 Brazil NBB | Bauru | 84-91 | Sao Jose |
| 26/09/25 Brazil FPB | Sao Jose | 68-57 | Bauru |
| 25/09/25 Brazil FPB | Sao Jose | 88-65 | Bauru |
| 21/09/25 Brazil FPB | Bauru | 84-77 | Sao Jose |
| 12/09/25 Brazil FPB | Sao Jose | 83-71 | Bauru |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bauru | Sao Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Mogi das Cruzes | 71-88 L | 67-101 L |
| Osasco | 91-64 W | 114-45 W |
| Pinheiros | 74-63 W | 76-75 W |
| Paulistano | 62-71 L | 79-84 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bauru
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
71-88 | L |
| 14/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
91-64 | W |
| 08/08 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
74-63 | W |
| 06/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
51-61 | L |
| 30/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
62-71 | L |
| 26/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
88-75 | W |
| 25/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
80-95 | L |
| 22/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
77-80 | L |
| 18/04 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
65-94 | L |
| 16/04 | Rio Claro Brazil NBB |
63-95 | L |
Sao Jose
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
114-45 | W |
| 13/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
67-101 | L |
| 08/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
68-91 | L |
| 07/08 | Paulistano Brazil FPB |
79-84 | L |
| 28/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
70-81 | L |
| 25/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
75-79 | L |
| 23/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
70-75 | L |
| 18/04 | Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB |
88-97 | L |
| 16/04 | Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB |
68-65 | W |
| 11/04 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
76-75 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bauru vs Sao Jose?
Our model gives 70% to Bauru.
How many points are expected in Bauru vs Sao Jose?
The model estimates 153 total points (Bauru 80.2 · Sao Jose 72.8).