Basketball · Australia NBL1 North · 01/08, 11:00
Prediction: Gold Coast Rollers vs Logan Thunder
Team pages: Gold Coast Rollers · Logan Thunder
Prediction summary
Estimated points
198.8Total
Gold Coast Rollers103.5
Logan Thunder95.3
1X2
Gold Coast Rollers
Logan Thunder
Recent form · 10 last
Gold Coast Rollers
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Logan Thunder
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gold Coast Rollers
2–4
Logan Thunder
(6 last)
- Logan Thunder96-104Gold Coast Rollers
- Gold Coast Rollers79-106Logan Thunder
- Logan Thunder110-98Gold Coast Rollers
- Gold Coast Rollers88-86Logan Thunder
- Gold Coast Rollers79-92Logan Thunder
- Logan Thunder93-79Gold Coast Rollers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gold Coast Rollers 1613 · Logan Thunder 1585
| Gold Coast Rollers | Logan Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
198.8 points · Bet365 line 203.5 · -4.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points198.8Gold Coast Rollers 103.5 · Logan Thunder 95.3
Match keys
- Gold Coast Rollers is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Logan Thunder: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Gold Coast Rollers | Logan Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 116.5 / 90.2 | 104.1 / 88.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 114.6 / 89 | 96.4 / 87.8 |
| Est. result | 104 | 95 |
Est. total198.8
Line O/U203.5
Diff.4.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast Rollers 2–0–4 Logan Thunder
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 96-104 | Gold Coast Rollers |
| 19/04/26 Australia NBL1 North | Gold Coast Rollers | 79-106 | Logan Thunder |
| 07/06/25 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 110-98 | Gold Coast Rollers |
| 17/05/25 Australia NBL1 North | Gold Coast Rollers | 88-86 | Logan Thunder |
| 07/06/24 Australia NBL1 North | Gold Coast Rollers | 79-92 | Logan Thunder |
| 18/05/24 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 93-79 | Gold Coast Rollers |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Marlins | 16 | 16 | 0 | 1662 | 1339 | 0 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Rollers | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1797 | 1484 | 0 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1608 | 1402 | 0 |
| 4 | Logan Thunder | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1615 | 1423 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteors | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1536 | 1556 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich Force | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1562 | 1510 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Capitals | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1501 | 1542 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern Districts Spartans | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1534 | 1583 | 0 |
| 9 | Townsville Heat | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1427 | 1560 | 0 |
| 10 | Northside Wizards | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1448 | 1591 | 0 |
| 11 | South West Metro Pirates | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1377 | 1644 | 0 |
| 12 | Rockhampton Rockets | 16 | 2 | 14 | 1514 | 1712 | 0 |
| 13 | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 16 | 2 | 14 | 1345 | 1580 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gold Coast Rollers | Logan Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Mackay Meteors | 123-87 W | 108-85 W |
| North Gold Coast Seahawks | 121-85 W | 105-85 W |
| South West Metro Pirates | 126-86 W | 112-85 W |
| Ipswich Force | 111-108 W | 96-93 W |
| Northside Wizards | 118-90 W | 101-86 W |
| Southern Districts Spartans | 136-87 W | 124-84 W |
| Cairns Marlins | 98-103 L | 82-93 L |
| Townsville Heat | 110-83 W | 95-82 W |
| Rockhampton Rockets | 130-94 W | 117-92 W |
| Record vs common | 8 W 0 D 1 L | 8 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gold Coast Rollers (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gold Coast Rollers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
123-87 | W |
| 11/07 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
121-85 | W |
| 10/07 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
126-86 | W |
| 04/07 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
111-108 | W |
| 27/06 | Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North |
92-79 | W |
| 21/06 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
118-90 | W |
| 12/06 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
136-87 | W |
| 30/05 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
98-103 | L |
| 29/05 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
110-83 | W |
| 23/05 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
130-94 | W |
Logan Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
108-85 | W |
| 18/07 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
96-93 | W |
| 11/07 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
95-82 | W |
| 10/07 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
82-93 | L |
| 04/07 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
101-86 | W |
| 03/07 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
112-85 | W |
| 28/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
105-85 | W |
| 20/06 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
101-103 | L |
| 13/06 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
124-84 | W |
| 05/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
117-92 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gold Coast Rollers vs Logan Thunder?
Our model gives 72% to Gold Coast Rollers.
How many points are expected in Gold Coast Rollers vs Logan Thunder?
The model estimates 198.8 total points (Gold Coast Rollers 103.5 · Logan Thunder 95.3).