Basketball · Australia NBL1 North · 25/07, 09:00
Prediction: Logan Thunder vs Mackay Meteors
Prediction summary
Estimated points
191.9Total
Logan Thunder99.8
Mackay Meteors92.1
1X2
Logan Thunder
Mackay Meteors
Recent form · 10 last
Logan Thunder
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Mackay Meteors
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Logan Thunder
3–3
Mackay Meteors
(6 last)
- Logan Thunder103-77Mackay Meteors
- Mackay Meteors105-97Logan Thunder
- Logan Thunder82-88Mackay Meteors
Model analysis
Estimated points191.9Logan Thunder 99.8 · Mackay Meteors 92.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Logan Thunder (rating 1573 vs 1508).
- Logan Thunder is a clear favourite (71% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Logan Thunder | Mackay Meteors | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 102 / 91.9 | 95.3 / 96.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 97.2 / 87.8 | 94.8 / 95.2 |
| Est. result | 100 | 92 |
Est. total191.9
Line O/U193.5
Diff.1.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Logan Thunder 3–0–3 Mackay Meteors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 103-77 | Mackay Meteors |
| 11/07/25 Australia NBL1 North | Mackay Meteors | 105-97 | Logan Thunder |
| 09/06/24 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 82-88 | Mackay Meteors |
| 03/06/23 Australia NBL1 North | Mackay Meteors | 83-96 | Logan Thunder |
| 29/05/22 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 88-89 | Mackay Meteors |
| 17/07/21 Australia NBL1 North | Mackay Meteors | 89-93 | Logan Thunder |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Marlins | 16 | 16 | 0 | 1662 | 1339 | 0 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Rollers | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1797 | 1484 | 0 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1608 | 1402 | 0 |
| 4 | Logan Thunder | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1615 | 1423 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteors | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1536 | 1556 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich Force | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1562 | 1510 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Capitals | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1501 | 1542 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern Districts Spartans | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1534 | 1583 | 0 |
| 9 | Townsville Heat | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1427 | 1560 | 0 |
| 10 | Northside Wizards | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1448 | 1591 | 0 |
| 11 | South West Metro Pirates | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1377 | 1644 | 0 |
| 12 | Rockhampton Rockets | 16 | 2 | 14 | 1514 | 1712 | 0 |
| 13 | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 16 | 2 | 14 | 1345 | 1580 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Logan Thunder | Mackay Meteors |
|---|---|---|
| Townsville Heat | 95-82 W | 95-77 W |
| Cairns Marlins | 82-93 L | 91-111 L |
| Northside Wizards | 101-86 W | 114-92 W |
| South West Metro Pirates | 112-85 W | 95-91 W |
| North Gold Coast Seahawks | 105-85 W | 99-84 W |
| Rockhampton Rockets | 117-92 W | 118-99 W |
| Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 87-116 L | 79-86 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Logan Thunder (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Logan Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
96-93 | W |
| 11/07 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
95-82 | W |
| 10/07 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
82-93 | L |
| 04/07 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
101-86 | W |
| 03/07 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
112-85 | W |
| 28/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
105-85 | W |
| 20/06 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
101-103 | L |
| 13/06 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
124-84 | W |
| 05/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
117-92 | W |
| 30/05 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
87-116 | L |
Mackay Meteors
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
87-123 | L |
| 18/07 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
95-91 | W |
| 12/07 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
79-86 | L |
| 03/07 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
95-77 | W |
| 27/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
118-99 | W |
| 20/06 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
91-111 | L |
| 12/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
99-84 | W |
| 29/05 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
114-92 | W |
| 23/05 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
83-110 | L |
| 22/05 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
92-89 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Logan Thunder vs Mackay Meteors?
Our model gives 71% to Logan Thunder.
How many points are expected in Logan Thunder vs Mackay Meteors?
The model estimates 191.9 total points (Logan Thunder 99.8 · Mackay Meteors 92.1).