Basketball · Chile LNB · 01/08, 02:30

Prediction: Universidad Catolica vs CD Espanol Talca

Team pages: Universidad Catolica · CD Espanol Talca

Prediction summary

Estimated points

159.2Total

Universidad Catolica85.5

CD Espanol Talca73.7

1X2

80% 20%

Universidad Catolica CD Espanol Talca

Recent form · 10 last

Universidad Catolica 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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CD Espanol Talca 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Universidad Catolica 5–1 CD Espanol Talca (6 last)

CD Espanol Talca81-93Universidad Catolica
CD Espanol Talca86-72Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica81-74CD Espanol Talca
CD Espanol Talca54-61Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica87-62CD Espanol Talca
CD Espanol Talca58-69Universidad Catolica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universidad Catolica 1457 · CD Espanol Talca 1377

	Universidad Catolica	CD Espanol Talca
Our model	73%	27%
Market	81%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 159.2 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -6.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points159.2Universidad Catolica 85.5 · CD Espanol Talca 73.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad Catolica (rating 1457 vs 1377).
Universidad Catolica is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Universidad Catolica: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Universidad Catolica	CD Espanol Talca
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76 / 83.5	77.3 / 96.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77 / 80.6	74.2 / 100.6
Est. result	86	74

Est. total159.2

Line O/U165.5

Diff.6.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.14

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.83

2 (+11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.83

Under 165.51.83

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 166.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
13:44 +1’	1.14	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica 5–0–1 CD Espanol Talca

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Chile LNB	CD Espanol Talca	81-93	Universidad Catolica
27/04/26 Chile LNB	CD Espanol Talca	86-72	Universidad Catolica
06/04/26 Chile LNB	Universidad Catolica	81-74	CD Espanol Talca
20/10/25 Chile LNB	CD Espanol Talca	54-61	Universidad Catolica
04/10/25 Chile LNB	Universidad Catolica	87-62	CD Espanol Talca
27/03/25 Chile LNB	CD Espanol Talca	58-69	Universidad Catolica

Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference Center

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CDU Concepcion	4	4	0	435	315	8
2	CSD Colo Colo	5	2	3	408	421	7
3	Colegio Los Leones	3	3	0	260	202	6
4	Universidad Catolica	4	2	2	314	331	6
5	Puente Alto	4	1	3	302	323	5
6	CD Espanol Talca	4	0	4	292	419	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Universidad Catolica	CD Espanol Talca
Puente Alto	68-77 L	79-84 L
CDU Concepcion	83-104 L	77-136 L
CSD Colo Colo	70-69 W	71-90 L
Colegio Los Leones	71-72 L	63-100 L
CD Boston College	88-98 L	90-92 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Universidad Catolica (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universidad Catolica

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/07	Puente Alto Chile LNB	68-77	L
20/07	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	83-104	L
11/07	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	93-81	W
09/07	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	70-69	W
10/05	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	71-72	L
08/05	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	81-83	L
04/05	Puente Alto Chile LNB	70-78	L
01/05	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	64-87	L
27/04	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	72-86	L
24/04	CD Boston College Chile LNB	88-98	L

CD Espanol Talca

LWLLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/07	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	63-100	L
25/07	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	77-136	L
13/07	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	71-90	L
11/07	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	81-93	L
10/05	Puente Alto Chile LNB	79-84	L
08/05	Puente Alto Chile LNB	76-93	L
04/05	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	70-99	L
03/05	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	80-109	L
27/04	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	86-72	W
25/04	CD Boston College Chile LNB	90-92	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica vs CD Espanol Talca?

Our model gives 80% to Universidad Catolica.

How many points are expected in Universidad Catolica vs CD Espanol Talca?

The model estimates 159.2 total points (Universidad Catolica 85.5 · CD Espanol Talca 73.7).