Basketball · Chile LNB · 08/08, 02:30
Prediction: Puerto Varas vs ABA Ancud
Team pages: Puerto Varas · ABA Ancud
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.2Total
Puerto Varas81.5
ABA Ancud75.7
1X2
Puerto Varas
ABA Ancud
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Varas
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
ABA Ancud
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Varas
3–3
ABA Ancud
(6 last)
- ABA Ancud90-84Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas75-74ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud76-66Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas69-64ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud101-78Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas86-69ABA Ancud
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Varas 1489 · ABA Ancud 1491
| Puerto Varas | ABA Ancud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 67% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.2 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · -5.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.2Puerto Varas 81.5 · ABA Ancud 75.7
Match keys
- Puerto Varas is a clear favourite (66% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puerto Varas | ABA Ancud | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.9 / 81.5 | 82.2 / 83.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.2 / 81.8 | 80.2 / 80.2 |
| Est. result | 82 | 76 |
Est. total157.2
Line O/U162.5
Diff.5.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Varas 3–0–3 ABA Ancud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/26 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 90-84 | Puerto Varas |
| 12/05/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 75-74 | ABA Ancud |
| 10/05/26 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 76-66 | Puerto Varas |
| 08/05/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 69-64 | ABA Ancud |
| 26/04/26 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 101-78 | Puerto Varas |
| 05/04/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 86-69 | ABA Ancud |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Espanol Osorno | 8 | 7 | 1 | 703 | 675 | 15 |
| 2 | Deportivo Valdivia | 7 | 7 | 0 | 658 | 496 | 14 |
| 3 | ABA Ancud | 9 | 4 | 5 | 748 | 757 | 13 |
| 4 | Puerto Varas | 9 | 4 | 5 | 694 | 746 | 13 |
| 5 | CD Castro | 9 | 3 | 6 | 663 | 752 | 12 |
| 6 | Las Animas | 9 | 2 | 7 | 752 | 771 | 11 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 7 | 2 | 5 | 533 | 554 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Varas | ABA Ancud |
|---|---|---|
| CD Castro | 102-67 W | 73-76 L |
| Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 59-80 L | 86-71 W |
| Las Animas | 91-90 W | 87-76 W |
| Espanol Osorno | 76-87 L | 91-92 L |
| Deportivo Valdivia | 68-85 L | 64-86 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: ABA Ancud (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Varas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
102-67 | W |
| 03/08 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
59-80 | L |
| 30/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
91-90 | W |
| 27/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
76-87 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
68-85 | L |
| 20/07 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
77-69 | W |
| 19/07 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
84-90 | L |
| 14/07 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
86-81 | W |
| 10/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
51-97 | L |
| 09/06 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
55-69 | L |
ABA Ancud
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
87-76 | W |
| 03/08 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
64-86 | L |
| 02/08 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
91-92 | L |
| 25/07 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
86-71 | W |
| 23/07 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
73-76 | L |
| 20/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
96-88 | W |
| 19/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
90-84 | W |
| 13/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
78-97 | L |
| 12/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
83-87 | L |
| 12/05 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
74-75 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Varas vs ABA Ancud?
Our model gives 66% to Puerto Varas.
How many points are expected in Puerto Varas vs ABA Ancud?
The model estimates 157.2 total points (Puerto Varas 81.5 · ABA Ancud 75.7).