Basketball · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · 29/07, 02:00

Prediction: Vaqueros de Bayamon vs Criollos de Caguas

Team pages: Vaqueros de Bayamon · Criollos de Caguas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

177.8Total

Vaqueros de Bayamon91.2

Criollos de Caguas86.6

1X2

63% 37%

Vaqueros de Bayamon Criollos de Caguas

Recent form · 10 last

Vaqueros de Bayamon 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWWWL

Criollos de Caguas 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Vaqueros de Bayamon 3–3 Criollos de Caguas (6 last)

Criollos de Caguas88-69Vaqueros de Bayamon
Vaqueros de Bayamon78-74Criollos de Caguas
Vaqueros de Bayamon107-99Criollos de Caguas
Vaqueros de Bayamon107-80Criollos de Caguas
Criollos de Caguas100-99Vaqueros de Bayamon
Criollos de Caguas96-90Vaqueros de Bayamon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vaqueros de Bayamon 1537 · Criollos de Caguas 1554

	Vaqueros de Bayamon	Criollos de Caguas
Our model	60%	40%
Market	63%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 177.8 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · +2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points177.8Vaqueros de Bayamon 91.2 · Criollos de Caguas 86.6

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vaqueros de Bayamon	Criollos de Caguas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84 / 80.1	97.6 / 87.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82 / 77.8	93.6 / 80
Est. result	91	87

Est. total177.8

Line O/U175.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.48

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.83

2 (+4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 175.51.83

Under 175.51.83

Diff.: 0.8 · Est. total: 174.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.48▼	Bet365 1.48
2	2.30 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.61 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 10.2%

Time*	1	2
11:43 +1’	1.55	2.30
17:44 +1’	1.48▼	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
05:42 +3’	1.34	2.78
07:43 +1’	1.39▲	2.60▼
09:43 +2’	1.39▼	2.61▲
16:44 +1’	1.39▼	2.61
17:43 +2’	1.39▲	2.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vaqueros de Bayamon 3–0–3 Criollos de Caguas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Criollos de Caguas	88-69	Vaqueros de Bayamon
25/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Vaqueros de Bayamon	78-74	Criollos de Caguas
21/06/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Vaqueros de Bayamon	107-99	Criollos de Caguas
13/05/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Vaqueros de Bayamon	107-80	Criollos de Caguas
06/05/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Criollos de Caguas	100-99	Vaqueros de Bayamon
28/04/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Criollos de Caguas	96-90	Vaqueros de Bayamon

Standings · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · BSN 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Criollos de Caguas	34	23	11	3421	3225
2	Vaqueros de Bayamon	34	22	12	3094	2860
3	Santurce	34	19	15	3229	3129
4	Gigantes Carolina	34	18	16	3140	3160
5	Manati	34	15	19	3149	3144
6	Guaynabo	34	14	20	3100	3273

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vaqueros de Bayamon	Criollos de Caguas
Ponce	77-81 L	104-80 W
Guaynabo	104-83 W	129-102 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Criollos de Caguas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vaqueros de Bayamon

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/07	Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	69-88	L
25/07	Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	78-74	W
18/07	Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	90-81	W
16/07	Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	72-68	W
14/07	Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	101-78	W
12/07	Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	73-71	W
10/07	Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	69-78	L
28/06	Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	77-81	L
26/06	Guaynabo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	104-83	W
21/06	Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	107-99	W

Criollos de Caguas

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/07	Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	88-69	W
25/07	Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	74-78	L
21/07	Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	107-95	W
19/07	Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	104-80	W
17/07	Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	95-78	W
15/07	Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	100-105	L
13/07	Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	77-98	L
11/07	Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	98-92	W
30/06	Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	104-80	W
28/06	Guaynabo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	129-102	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vaqueros de Bayamon vs Criollos de Caguas?

Our model gives 63% to Vaqueros de Bayamon.

How many points are expected in Vaqueros de Bayamon vs Criollos de Caguas?

The model estimates 177.8 total points (Vaqueros de Bayamon 91.2 · Criollos de Caguas 86.6).