Basketball · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · 04/08, 02:00
Prediction: Criollos de Caguas vs Vaqueros de Bayamon
Team pages: Criollos de Caguas · Vaqueros de Bayamon
Prediction summary
Estimated points
180.3Total
Criollos de Caguas91
Vaqueros de Bayamon89.3
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Criollos de Caguas
Vaqueros de Bayamon
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Criollos de Caguas
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Vaqueros de Bayamon
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Criollos de Caguas
2–4
Vaqueros de Bayamon
(6 last)
- Vaqueros de Bayamon122-79Criollos de Caguas
- Criollos de Caguas111-97Vaqueros de Bayamon
- Vaqueros de Bayamon106-83Criollos de Caguas
- Criollos de Caguas88-69Vaqueros de Bayamon
- Vaqueros de Bayamon78-74Criollos de Caguas
- Vaqueros de Bayamon107-99Criollos de Caguas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Criollos de Caguas 1512 · Vaqueros de Bayamon 1545
| Criollos de Caguas | Vaqueros de Bayamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
180.3 points · Bet365 line 180.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points180.3Criollos de Caguas 91 · Vaqueros de Bayamon 89.3
Match keys
- H2H favours Vaqueros de Bayamon: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Criollos de Caguas | Vaqueros de Bayamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91.8 / 92.8 | 87.7 / 81.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 87 / 94.4 | 94.4 / 87 |
| Est. result | 91 | 89 |
Est. total180.3
Line O/U180.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Criollos de Caguas 2–0–4 Vaqueros de Bayamon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 122-79 | Criollos de Caguas |
| 31/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Criollos de Caguas | 111-97 | Vaqueros de Bayamon |
| 29/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 106-83 | Criollos de Caguas |
| 27/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Criollos de Caguas | 88-69 | Vaqueros de Bayamon |
| 25/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 78-74 | Criollos de Caguas |
| 21/06/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 107-99 | Criollos de Caguas |
Standings · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · BSN 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criollos de Caguas | 34 | 23 | 11 | 3421 | 3225 | 0 |
| 2 | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 34 | 22 | 12 | 3094 | 2860 | 0 |
| 3 | Santurce | 34 | 19 | 15 | 3229 | 3129 | 0 |
| 4 | Gigantes Carolina | 34 | 18 | 16 | 3140 | 3160 | 0 |
| 5 | Manati | 34 | 15 | 19 | 3149 | 3144 | 0 |
| 6 | Guaynabo | 34 | 14 | 20 | 3100 | 3273 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Criollos de Caguas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
79-122 | L |
| 31/07 | Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
111-97 | W |
| 29/07 | Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
83-106 | L |
| 27/07 | Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
88-69 | W |
| 25/07 | Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
74-78 | L |
| 21/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
107-95 | W |
| 19/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
104-80 | W |
| 17/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
95-78 | W |
| 15/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
100-105 | L |
| 13/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
77-98 | L |
Vaqueros de Bayamon
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
122-79 | W |
| 31/07 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
97-111 | L |
| 29/07 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
106-83 | W |
| 27/07 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
69-88 | L |
| 25/07 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
78-74 | W |
| 18/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
90-81 | W |
| 16/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
72-68 | W |
| 14/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
101-78 | W |
| 12/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
73-71 | W |
| 10/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
69-78 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Criollos de Caguas vs Vaqueros de Bayamon?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Criollos de Caguas 55% · Vaqueros de Bayamon 45%).
How many points are expected in Criollos de Caguas vs Vaqueros de Bayamon?
The model estimates 180.3 total points (Criollos de Caguas 91 · Vaqueros de Bayamon 89.3).