Basketball · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · 27/07, 02:00
Prediction: Criollos de Caguas vs Vaqueros de Bayamon
Team pages: Criollos de Caguas · Vaqueros de Bayamon
Prediction summary
Estimated points
181Total
Criollos de Caguas93.4
Vaqueros de Bayamon87.6
1X2
Criollos de Caguas
Vaqueros de Bayamon
Recent form · 10 last
Criollos de Caguas
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Vaqueros de Bayamon
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Criollos de Caguas
3–3
Vaqueros de Bayamon
(6 last)
- Vaqueros de Bayamon78-74Criollos de Caguas
- Vaqueros de Bayamon107-99Criollos de Caguas
- Vaqueros de Bayamon107-80Criollos de Caguas
- Criollos de Caguas100-99Vaqueros de Bayamon
- Criollos de Caguas96-90Vaqueros de Bayamon
- Criollos de Caguas102-93Vaqueros de Bayamon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Criollos de Caguas 1550 · Vaqueros de Bayamon 1561
| Criollos de Caguas | Vaqueros de Bayamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 67% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
181 points · Bet365 line 181.5 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points181Criollos de Caguas 93.4 · Vaqueros de Bayamon 87.6
Match keys
- Criollos de Caguas is a clear favourite (66% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Criollos de Caguas | Vaqueros de Bayamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 98.6 / 90 | 87.1 / 80.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 96 / 87.2 | 82.8 / 74.4 |
| Est. result | 93 | 88 |
Est. total181
Line O/U181.5
Diff.0.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Criollos de Caguas 3–0–3 Vaqueros de Bayamon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 78-74 | Criollos de Caguas |
| 21/06/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 107-99 | Criollos de Caguas |
| 13/05/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 107-80 | Criollos de Caguas |
| 06/05/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Criollos de Caguas | 100-99 | Vaqueros de Bayamon |
| 28/04/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Criollos de Caguas | 96-90 | Vaqueros de Bayamon |
| 15/06/25 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Criollos de Caguas | 102-93 | Vaqueros de Bayamon |
Standings · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · BSN 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criollos de Caguas | 34 | 23 | 11 | 3421 | 3225 | 0 |
| 2 | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 34 | 22 | 12 | 3094 | 2860 | 0 |
| 3 | Santurce | 34 | 19 | 15 | 3229 | 3129 | 0 |
| 4 | Gigantes Carolina | 34 | 18 | 16 | 3140 | 3160 | 0 |
| 5 | Manati | 34 | 15 | 19 | 3149 | 3144 | 0 |
| 6 | Guaynabo | 34 | 14 | 20 | 3100 | 3273 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Criollos de Caguas | Vaqueros de Bayamon |
|---|---|---|
| Ponce | 104-80 W | 77-81 L |
| Guaynabo | 129-102 W | 104-83 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Criollos de Caguas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Criollos de Caguas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
74-78 | L |
| 21/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
107-95 | W |
| 19/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
104-80 | W |
| 17/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
95-78 | W |
| 15/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
100-105 | L |
| 13/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
77-98 | L |
| 11/07 | Santurce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
98-92 | W |
| 30/06 | Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
104-80 | W |
| 28/06 | Guaynabo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
129-102 | W |
| 26/06 | Manati Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
98-92 | W |
Vaqueros de Bayamon
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
78-74 | W |
| 18/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
90-81 | W |
| 16/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
72-68 | W |
| 14/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
101-78 | W |
| 12/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
73-71 | W |
| 10/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
69-78 | L |
| 28/06 | Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
77-81 | L |
| 26/06 | Guaynabo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
104-83 | W |
| 21/06 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
107-99 | W |
| 19/06 | Arecibo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
100-93 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Criollos de Caguas vs Vaqueros de Bayamon?
Our model gives 66% to Criollos de Caguas.
How many points are expected in Criollos de Caguas vs Vaqueros de Bayamon?
The model estimates 181 total points (Criollos de Caguas 93.4 · Vaqueros de Bayamon 87.6).