Basketball · Portugal LBP · 10/10, 19:00

Prediction: Vitoria SC vs Ovarense

Team pages: Ovarense

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.8Total

Vitoria SC86.6

Ovarense81.2

1X2

65% 35%

Vitoria SC Ovarense

Recent form · 10 last

Vitoria SC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLWW

Ovarense 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLWLLW

Head-to-head

Vitoria SC 1–5 Ovarense (6 last)

Vitoria SC75-81Ovarense
Ovarense75-91Vitoria SC
Vitoria SC77-94Ovarense
Ovarense81-76Vitoria SC
Vitoria SC62-67Ovarense
Ovarense91-90Vitoria SC

Model analysis

Estimated points167.8Vitoria SC 86.6 · Ovarense 81.2

Match keys

Vitoria SC is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Ovarense: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vitoria SC	Ovarense
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.9 / 91.8	77.7 / 79.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86.6 / 87.2	78.6 / 79
Est. result	87	81

Est. total167.8

Line O/U165

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1651.79

Under 1651.81

Diff.: 2.25 · Est. total: 167.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.45
2	1.40 → 1.40	Pinn 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.2%

Time*	1	2
17:09 +5’	2.45	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vitoria SC 1–0–5 Ovarense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Portugal Cup	Vitoria SC	75-81	Ovarense
21/03/26 Portugal LBP	Ovarense	75-91	Vitoria SC
15/11/25 Portugal LBP	Vitoria SC	77-94	Ovarense
15/03/25 Portugal LBP	Ovarense	81-76	Vitoria SC
16/11/24 Portugal LBP	Vitoria SC	62-67	Ovarense
06/01/24 Portugal LBP	Ovarense	91-90	Vitoria SC

Standings · Portugal LBP

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Povoa	1	1	0	84	64	2
2	FC Porto	1	1	0	110	93	2
3	Ovarense	1	1	0	96	83	2
3	Sport Lisboa Benfica	1	1	0	84	71	2
5	Oliveirense	1	1	0	91	82	2
6	Vitoria SC	1	1	0	83	78	2
7	CAB Madeira	1	0	1	78	83	1
8	Portimonense SC	1	0	1	82	91	1
9	SC Braga	1	0	1	83	96	1
9	Sporting CP	1	0	1	71	84	1
11	CA Queluz	1	0	1	93	110	1
12	Esgueira	1	0	1	64	84	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vitoria SC	Ovarense
Oliveirense	84-74 W	65-69 L
SC Braga	84-101 L	96-83 W
Galitos Barreiro	84-86 L	83-82 W
FC Porto	69-114 L	83-60 W
Sport Lisboa Benfica	79-111 L	70-89 L
CA Queluz	103-96 W	73-74 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ovarense (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vitoria SC

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	CAB Madeira Portugal LBP	83-78	W
25/04	Oliveirense Portugal LBP	84-74	W
18/04	Vasco Da Gama Portugal LBP	89-96	L
11/04	Esgueira Portugal LBP	93-87	W
04/04	SC Braga Portugal LBP	84-101	L
28/03	Galitos Barreiro Portugal LBP	84-86	L
21/03	Ovarense Portugal LBP	91-75	W
14/03	FC Porto Portugal LBP	69-114	L
14/02	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	79-111	L
07/02	CA Queluz Portugal LBP	103-96	W

Ovarense

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	SC Braga Portugal LBP	96-83	W
16/05	Oliveirense Portugal LBP	65-69	L
13/05	Oliveirense Portugal LBP	72-90	L
09/05	Oliveirense Portugal LBP	93-79	W
25/04	SC Braga Portugal LBP	67-74	L
18/04	Galitos Barreiro Portugal LBP	83-82	W
11/04	CA Queluz Portugal LBP	73-74	L
04/04	FC Porto Portugal LBP	83-60	W
28/03	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	70-89	L
21/03	Vitoria SC Portugal LBP	75-91	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vitoria SC vs Ovarense?

Our model gives 65% to Vitoria SC.

How many points are expected in Vitoria SC vs Ovarense?

The model estimates 167.8 total points (Vitoria SC 86.6 · Ovarense 81.2).