Basketball · Portugal LBP · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Sporting CP vs Esgueira

Team pages: Sporting CP

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.6Total

Sporting CP88.1

Esgueira79.5

1X2

73% 27%

Sporting CP Esgueira

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting CP 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWLLL

Esgueira 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Sporting CP 4–2 Esgueira (6 last)

Esgueira73-85Sporting CP
Sporting CP109-67Esgueira
Sporting CP95-79Esgueira
Esgueira95-87Sporting CP
Sporting CP93-87Esgueira
Esgueira82-81Sporting CP

Model analysis

Estimated points167.6Sporting CP 88.1 · Esgueira 79.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting CP (rating 1487 vs 1402).
Sporting CP is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Sporting CP: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sporting CP	Esgueira
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.3 / 77.3	79.5 / 92.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.2 / 83.6	71 / 94
Est. result	88	80

Est. total167.6

Line O/U166

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1661.79

Under 1661.81

Diff.: 1.1 · Est. total: 164.9

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 07:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Pinn 1.01
2	6.42 → 6.45▲	Pinn 6.45

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 14%

Time*	1	2
16:58 +8’	1.01	6.42
18:35 +39’	1.01▼	6.51▲
20:26 +46’	1.01▼	6.56▲
07:10 +46’	1.01▲	6.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting CP 4–0–2 Esgueira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Portugal LBP	Esgueira	73-85	Sporting CP
10/05/26 Portugal LBP	Sporting CP	109-67	Esgueira
28/03/26 Portugal LBP	Sporting CP	95-79	Esgueira
06/12/25 Portugal LBP	Esgueira	95-87	Sporting CP
02/02/25 Portugal LBP	Sporting CP	93-87	Esgueira
20/10/24 Portugal LBP	Esgueira	82-81	Sporting CP

Standings · Portugal LBP

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Povoa	1	1	0	84	64	2
2	FC Porto	1	1	0	110	93	2
3	Ovarense	1	1	0	96	83	2
3	Sport Lisboa Benfica	1	1	0	84	71	2
5	Oliveirense	1	1	0	91	82	2
6	Vitoria SC	1	1	0	83	78	2
7	CAB Madeira	1	0	1	78	83	1
8	Portimonense SC	1	0	1	82	91	1
9	SC Braga	1	0	1	83	96	1
9	Sporting CP	1	0	1	71	84	1
11	CA Queluz	1	0	1	93	110	1
12	Esgueira	1	0	1	64	84	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting CP	Esgueira
Sport Lisboa Benfica	71-84 L	65-107 L
FC Porto	86-94 L	86-85 W
Imortal BC	61-64 L	97-83 W
Oliveirense	74-82 L	93-88 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Esgueira (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting CP

LWLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	71-84	L
31/05	FC Porto Portugal LBP	86-94	L
29/05	FC Porto Portugal LBP	76-86	L
25/05	FC Porto Portugal LBP	88-73	W
23/05	FC Porto Portugal LBP	70-81	L
14/05	Esgueira Portugal LBP	85-73	W
10/05	Esgueira Portugal LBP	109-67	W
25/04	Imortal BC Portugal LBP	61-64	L
18/04	CA Queluz Portugal LBP	83-69	W
11/04	Oliveirense Portugal LBP	74-82	L

Esgueira

LWLWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	CD Povoa Portugal LBP	64-84	L
14/05	Sporting CP Portugal LBP	73-85	L
10/05	Sporting CP Portugal LBP	67-109	L
25/04	FC Porto Portugal LBP	86-85	W
18/04	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	65-107	L
11/04	Vitoria SC Portugal LBP	87-93	L
04/04	Imortal BC Portugal LBP	97-83	W
28/03	Sporting CP Portugal LBP	79-95	L
21/03	Oliveirense Portugal LBP	93-88	W
14/03	Vasco Da Gama Portugal LBP	84-98	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting CP vs Esgueira?

Our model gives 73% to Sporting CP.

How many points are expected in Sporting CP vs Esgueira?

The model estimates 167.6 total points (Sporting CP 88.1 · Esgueira 79.5).