Basketball · Portugal LBP · 16/10, 22:00
Prediction: Esgueira vs FC Porto
Team pages: Esgueira · FC Porto
Prediction summary
Estimated points
168Total
Esgueira81.3
FC Porto86.7
1X2
Esgueira
FC Porto
Recent form · 10 last
Esgueira
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
FC Porto
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Esgueira
2–4
FC Porto
(6 last)
- FC Porto85-86Esgueira
- Esgueira78-100FC Porto
- Esgueira76-67FC Porto
- Esgueira81-96FC Porto
- FC Porto94-83Esgueira
- Esgueira45-104FC Porto
Model analysis
Estimated points168Esgueira 81.3 · FC Porto 86.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Porto (rating 1388 vs 1582).
- FC Porto is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours FC Porto: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Esgueira | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.1 / 91.7 | 87.4 / 82 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 70 / 90.2 | 93.4 / 82.2 |
| Est. result | 81 | 87 |
Est. total168
Line O/U166.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Esgueira 2–0–4 FC Porto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Portugal LBP | FC Porto | 85-86 | Esgueira |
| 18/01/26 Portugal Cup | Esgueira | 78-100 | FC Porto |
| 10/01/26 Portugal LBP | Esgueira | 76-67 | FC Porto |
| 05/04/25 Portugal LBP | Esgueira | 81-96 | FC Porto |
| 14/12/24 Portugal LBP | FC Porto | 94-83 | Esgueira |
| 02/03/24 Portugal LBP | Esgueira | 45-104 | FC Porto |
Standings · Portugal LBP
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ovarense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 154 | 4 |
| 2 | CD Povoa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 157 | 133 | 4 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 179 | 4 |
| 4 | Sport Lisboa Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 170 | 164 | 3 |
| 5 | Sporting CP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 144 | 3 |
| 6 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 188 | 167 | 3 |
| 7 | Vitoria SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 165 | 3 |
| 8 | Oliveirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 91 | 82 | 2 |
| 9 | CAB Madeira | 2 | 0 | 2 | 147 | 156 | 2 |
| 10 | Portimonense SC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 153 | 196 | 2 |
| 11 | Esgueira | 2 | 0 | 2 | 124 | 172 | 2 |
| 12 | CA Queluz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 93 | 110 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Esgueira | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 60-88 L | 94-86 W |
| Sport Lisboa Benfica | 65-107 L | 93-86 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Porto (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esgueira
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Sporting CP Portugal LBP |
60-88 | L |
| 03/10 | CD Povoa Portugal LBP |
64-84 | L |
| 14/05 | Sporting CP Portugal LBP |
73-85 | L |
| 10/05 | Sporting CP Portugal LBP |
67-109 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Porto Portugal LBP |
86-85 | W |
| 18/04 | Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP |
65-107 | L |
| 11/04 | Vitoria SC Portugal LBP |
87-93 | L |
| 04/04 | Imortal BC Portugal LBP |
97-83 | W |
| 28/03 | Sporting CP Portugal LBP |
79-95 | L |
| 21/03 | Oliveirense Portugal LBP |
93-88 | W |
FC Porto
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP |
93-86 | W |
| 02/10 | CA Queluz Portugal LBP |
110-93 | W |
| 14/06 | Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP |
75-71 | W |
| 12/06 | Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP |
87-63 | W |
| 09/06 | Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP |
102-98 | W |
| 07/06 | Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP |
73-89 | L |
| 31/05 | Sporting CP Portugal LBP |
94-86 | W |
| 29/05 | Sporting CP Portugal LBP |
86-76 | W |
| 25/05 | Sporting CP Portugal LBP |
73-88 | L |
| 23/05 | Sporting CP Portugal LBP |
81-70 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esgueira vs FC Porto?
Our model gives 65% to FC Porto.
How many points are expected in Esgueira vs FC Porto?
The model estimates 168 total points (Esgueira 81.3 · FC Porto 86.7).