Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 03/10, 07:05

Prediction: Shiga Lakes vs Ryukyu Golden Kings

Team pages: Shiga Lakes · Ryukyu Golden Kings

Prediction summary

Estimated points

163.7Total

Shiga Lakes79.5

Ryukyu Golden Kings84.2

1X2

37% 63%

Shiga Lakes Ryukyu Golden Kings

Recent form · 10 last

Shiga Lakes 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWLLW

Ryukyu Golden Kings 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Shiga Lakes 2–4 Ryukyu Golden Kings (6 last)

Ryukyu Golden Kings90-74Shiga Lakes
Shiga Lakes92-86Ryukyu Golden Kings
Ryukyu Golden Kings104-73Shiga Lakes
Shiga Lakes83-91Ryukyu Golden Kings
Shiga Lakes72-108Ryukyu Golden Kings
Shiga Lakes89-81Ryukyu Golden Kings

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shiga Lakes 1476 · Ryukyu Golden Kings 1579

	Shiga Lakes	Ryukyu Golden Kings
Our model	48%	52%
Market	34%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 163.7 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points163.7Shiga Lakes 79.5 · Ryukyu Golden Kings 84.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryukyu Golden Kings (rating 1476 vs 1579).
H2H favours Ryukyu Golden Kings: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shiga Lakes	Ryukyu Golden Kings
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82 / 88.3	78.1 / 71.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81 / 82.6	70.6 / 73
Est. result	80	84

Est. total163.7

Line O/U162.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.70

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.95

2 (-4.5)1.74

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 2.4 · Est. total: 160.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.95 ★
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	2
19:03 +9’	2.70	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
19:03 +8’	2.82	1.41
19:44 +28’	2.95▲	1.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shiga Lakes 2–0–4 Ryukyu Golden Kings

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/01/26 Japan B League Premier	Ryukyu Golden Kings	90-74	Shiga Lakes
15/10/25 Japan B League Premier	Shiga Lakes	92-86	Ryukyu Golden Kings
09/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Ryukyu Golden Kings	104-73	Shiga Lakes
18/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Shiga Lakes	83-91	Ryukyu Golden Kings
20/10/24 Japan B League Premier	Shiga Lakes	72-108	Ryukyu Golden Kings
19/10/24 Japan B League Premier	Shiga Lakes	89-81	Ryukyu Golden Kings

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hiroshima Dragonflies	3	3	0	285	221
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	2	2	0	183	141
3	Shimane Susanoo Magic	2	2	0	174	142
4	San En Neo Phoenix	2	2	0	171	157
5	Shiga Lakes	2	1	1	175	172
6	Kyoto Hannaryz	2	1	1	172	175
7	Shinshu Brave Warriors	2	1	1	184	180
8	Osaka Evessa	2	1	1	157	153
9	Ryukyu Golden Kings	2	1	1	158	158
10	Mikawa Seahorses	2	1	1	175	183
11	Kobe Storks	3	1	2	226	253
12	Nagasaki Velca	2	0	2	142	174
13	Saga Ballooners	2	0	2	148	189

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shiga Lakes	Ryukyu Golden Kings
Tokyo Alvark	77-87 L	85-74 W
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	86-84 W	90-74 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ryukyu Golden Kings (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shiga Lakes

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	81-77	W
25/09	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1	94-95	L
03/05	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	65-73	L
02/05	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	88-81	W
26/04	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League 1	77-87	L
25/04	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League 1	74-101	L
22/04	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1	69-81	L
19/04	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	86-84	W
18/04	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	95-106	L
15/04	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier	91-98	L

Ryukyu Golden Kings

WWWWWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League 1	85-74	W
22/09	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League 1	73-84	L
26/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	64-72	L
24/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	60-66	L
23/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	71-69	W
16/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
15/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	85-65	W
09/05	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	82-79	W
08/05	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	79-65	W
03/05	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	92-70	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shiga Lakes vs Ryukyu Golden Kings?

Our model gives 63% to Ryukyu Golden Kings.

How many points are expected in Shiga Lakes vs Ryukyu Golden Kings?

The model estimates 163.7 total points (Shiga Lakes 79.5 · Ryukyu Golden Kings 84.2).