Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 03/10, 07:05

Prediction: Osaka Evessa vs Mikawa Seahorses

Team pages: Mikawa Seahorses

Prediction summary

Estimated points

164.6Total

Osaka Evessa83.2

Mikawa Seahorses81.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Osaka Evessa Mikawa Seahorses

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Osaka Evessa 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Mikawa Seahorses 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Osaka Evessa 1–5 Mikawa Seahorses (6 last)

Osaka Evessa82-84Mikawa Seahorses
Mikawa Seahorses80-70Osaka Evessa
Mikawa Seahorses95-81Osaka Evessa
Mikawa Seahorses87-70Osaka Evessa
Mikawa Seahorses75-88Osaka Evessa
Mikawa Seahorses73-61Osaka Evessa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Osaka Evessa 1487 · Mikawa Seahorses 1497

	Osaka Evessa	Mikawa Seahorses
Our model	61%	39%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 164.6 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points164.6Osaka Evessa 83.2 · Mikawa Seahorses 81.4

Match keys

H2H favours Mikawa Seahorses: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Osaka Evessa	Mikawa Seahorses
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.7 / 83.5	81.8 / 82.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.8 / 82.8	78.8 / 88.4
Est. result	83	81

Est. total164.6

Line O/U165.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.74

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.83

Under 165.51.83

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 166.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.85 ★
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	2
18:51 +20’	1.74	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:35 +36’	1.85	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Osaka Evessa 1–0–5 Mikawa Seahorses

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	82-84	Mikawa Seahorses
24/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	80-70	Osaka Evessa
20/10/24 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	95-81	Osaka Evessa
19/10/24 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	87-70	Osaka Evessa
02/03/24 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	75-88	Osaka Evessa
01/03/24 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	73-61	Osaka Evessa

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hiroshima Dragonflies	3	3	0	285	221
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	2	2	0	183	141
3	Shimane Susanoo Magic	2	2	0	174	142
4	San En Neo Phoenix	2	2	0	171	157
5	Shiga Lakes	2	1	1	175	172
6	Kyoto Hannaryz	2	1	1	172	175
7	Shinshu Brave Warriors	2	1	1	184	180
8	Osaka Evessa	2	1	1	157	153
9	Ryukyu Golden Kings	2	1	1	158	158
10	Mikawa Seahorses	2	1	1	175	183
11	Kobe Storks	3	1	2	226	253
12	Nagasaki Velca	2	0	2	142	174
13	Saga Ballooners	2	0	2	148	189

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Osaka Evessa

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Kobe Storks Japan B League 1	78-84	L
26/09	Kobe Storks Japan B League 1	79-69	W
03/05	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	79-91	L
02/05	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	81-87	L
26/04	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	92-83	W
25/04	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	78-88	L
22/04	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	82-84	L
19/04	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	103-93	W
18/04	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	98-76	W
15/04	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-80	L

Mikawa Seahorses

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	78-77	W
26/09	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1	97-106	L
09/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	79-82	L
08/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	65-79	L
03/05	Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League Premier	75-98	L
02/05	Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League Premier	83-75	W
26/04	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier	76-73	W
25/04	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier	87-67	W
22/04	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	84-82	W
19/04	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	94-85	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Osaka Evessa vs Mikawa Seahorses?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Osaka Evessa 55% · Mikawa Seahorses 45%).

How many points are expected in Osaka Evessa vs Mikawa Seahorses?

The model estimates 164.6 total points (Osaka Evessa 83.2 · Mikawa Seahorses 81.4).