Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 04/10, 07:05

Prediction: Saga Ballooners vs San En Neo Phoenix

Team pages: Saga Ballooners · San En Neo Phoenix

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.5Total

Saga Ballooners79.1

San En Neo Phoenix86.4

1X2

30% 70%

Saga Ballooners San En Neo Phoenix

Recent form · 10 last

Saga Ballooners 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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San En Neo Phoenix 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Saga Ballooners 1–5 San En Neo Phoenix (6 last)

Saga Ballooners61-97San En Neo Phoenix
Saga Ballooners91-96San En Neo Phoenix
San En Neo Phoenix73-85Saga Ballooners
Saga Ballooners83-102San En Neo Phoenix
Saga Ballooners82-95San En Neo Phoenix
San En Neo Phoenix81-65Saga Ballooners

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saga Ballooners 1500 · San En Neo Phoenix 1586

	Saga Ballooners	San En Neo Phoenix
Our model	51%	49%
Market	25%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 165.5 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · -1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165.5Saga Ballooners 79.1 · San En Neo Phoenix 86.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San En Neo Phoenix (rating 1500 vs 1586).
San En Neo Phoenix is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours San En Neo Phoenix: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saga Ballooners	San En Neo Phoenix
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.7 / 82.4	85.2 / 78.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76.2 / 85.6	90 / 72.6
Est. result	79	86

Est. total165.5

Line O/U166.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.75

21.24

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.83

2 (-7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 3.25 · Est. total: 163.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.24 → 1.24	Pinn 1.31 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	2
15:26 +3’	3.75	1.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:22 +7’	3.27	1.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saga Ballooners 1–0–5 San En Neo Phoenix

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/10/26 Japan B League Premier	Saga Ballooners	61-97	San En Neo Phoenix
11/03/26 Japan B League Premier	Saga Ballooners	91-96	San En Neo Phoenix
29/10/25 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	73-85	Saga Ballooners
09/02/25 Japan B League Premier	Saga Ballooners	83-102	San En Neo Phoenix
08/02/25 Japan B League Premier	Saga Ballooners	82-95	San En Neo Phoenix
23/09/24 Japan Emperor Cup	San En Neo Phoenix	81-65	Saga Ballooners

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hiroshima Dragonflies	3	3	0	285	221
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	2	2	0	183	141
3	Shimane Susanoo Magic	2	2	0	174	142
4	San En Neo Phoenix	2	2	0	171	157
5	Shiga Lakes	2	1	1	175	172
6	Kyoto Hannaryz	2	1	1	172	175
7	Shinshu Brave Warriors	2	1	1	184	180
8	Osaka Evessa	2	1	1	157	153
9	Ryukyu Golden Kings	2	1	1	158	158
10	Mikawa Seahorses	2	1	1	175	183
11	Kobe Storks	3	1	2	226	253
12	Nagasaki Velca	2	0	2	142	174
13	Saga Ballooners	2	0	2	148	189

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saga Ballooners	San En Neo Phoenix
Ryukyu Golden Kings	91-96 L	86-68 W
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	71-66 W	93-79 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: San En Neo Phoenix (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Saga Ballooners

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier	61-97	L
27/09	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1	61-89	L
25/09	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1	87-100	L
03/05	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	87-70	W
02/05	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	85-72	W
26/04	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	91-96	L
25/04	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	78-92	L
22/04	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	71-66	W
19/04	Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League Premier	103-68	W
18/04	Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League Premier	83-74	W

San En Neo Phoenix

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	97-61	W
27/09	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	81-75	W
25/09	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League 1	90-82	W
03/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	93-79	W
02/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	89-66	W
26/04	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	73-76	L
25/04	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	67-87	L
22/04	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	94-86	W
19/04	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	86-68	W
18/04	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	82-102	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saga Ballooners vs San En Neo Phoenix?

Our model gives 70% to San En Neo Phoenix.

How many points are expected in Saga Ballooners vs San En Neo Phoenix?

The model estimates 165.5 total points (Saga Ballooners 79.1 · San En Neo Phoenix 86.4).