Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 04/10, 07:35
Prediction: Kyoto Hannaryz vs Nagasaki Velca
Team pages: Kyoto Hannaryz · Nagasaki Velca
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.3Total
Kyoto Hannaryz84.2
Nagasaki Velca81.1
1X2
Kyoto Hannaryz
Nagasaki Velca
Recent form · 10 last
Kyoto Hannaryz
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Nagasaki Velca
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kyoto Hannaryz
3–3
Nagasaki Velca
(6 last)
- Kyoto Hannaryz84-76Nagasaki Velca
- Nagasaki Velca63-84Kyoto Hannaryz
- Nagasaki Velca105-94Kyoto Hannaryz
- Kyoto Hannaryz80-90Nagasaki Velca
- Nagasaki Velca91-73Kyoto Hannaryz
- Nagasaki Velca66-79Kyoto Hannaryz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyoto Hannaryz 1478 · Nagasaki Velca 1534
| Kyoto Hannaryz | Nagasaki Velca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.3 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +2.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.3Kyoto Hannaryz 84.2 · Nagasaki Velca 81.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagasaki Velca (rating 1478 vs 1534).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Kyoto Hannaryz | Nagasaki Velca | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84 / 85.6 | 79.8 / 75.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.8 / 83.8 | 71.2 / 76.4 |
| Est. result | 84 | 81 |
Est. total165.3
Line O/U162.5
Diff.2.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kyoto Hannaryz 3–0–3 Nagasaki Velca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/26 Japan B League Premier | Kyoto Hannaryz | 84-76 | Nagasaki Velca |
| 03/05/26 Japan B League Premier | Nagasaki Velca | 63-84 | Kyoto Hannaryz |
| 02/05/26 Japan B League Premier | Nagasaki Velca | 105-94 | Kyoto Hannaryz |
| 11/03/26 Japan B League Premier | Kyoto Hannaryz | 80-90 | Nagasaki Velca |
| 29/10/25 Japan B League Premier | Nagasaki Velca | 91-73 | Kyoto Hannaryz |
| 27/04/25 Japan B League Premier | Nagasaki Velca | 66-79 | Kyoto Hannaryz |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 285 | 221 | 0 |
| 2 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 141 | 0 |
| 3 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 142 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 2 | 2 | 0 | 171 | 157 | 0 |
| 5 | Shiga Lakes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 172 | 0 |
| 6 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 175 | 0 |
| 7 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 2 | 1 | 1 | 184 | 180 | 0 |
| 8 | Osaka Evessa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 157 | 153 | 0 |
| 9 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 158 | 0 |
| 10 | Mikawa Seahorses | 2 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 183 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 226 | 253 | 0 |
| 12 | Nagasaki Velca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 142 | 174 | 0 |
| 13 | Saga Ballooners | 2 | 0 | 2 | 148 | 189 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyoto Hannaryz
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
84-76 | W |
| 27/09 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
77-81 | L |
| 25/09 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League 1 |
95-94 | W |
| 03/05 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
84-63 | W |
| 02/05 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
94-105 | L |
| 26/04 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
83-92 | L |
| 25/04 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
88-78 | W |
| 22/04 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
66-84 | L |
| 19/04 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
85-94 | L |
| 18/04 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
84-89 | L |
Nagasaki Velca
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
76-84 | L |
| 25/09 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
78-85 | L |
| 23/09 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League 1 |
64-89 | L |
| 26/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
72-64 | W |
| 24/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
66-60 | W |
| 23/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
69-71 | L |
| 16/05 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
102-93 | W |
| 15/05 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
82-74 | W |
| 08/05 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League 1 |
96-56 | W |
| 07/05 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League 1 |
93-78 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyoto Hannaryz vs Nagasaki Velca?
Our model gives 59% to Kyoto Hannaryz.
How many points are expected in Kyoto Hannaryz vs Nagasaki Velca?
The model estimates 165.3 total points (Kyoto Hannaryz 84.2 · Nagasaki Velca 81.1).