Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 23/10, 12:05

Prediction: Shiga Lakes vs Nagasaki Velca

Team pages: Shiga Lakes · Nagasaki Velca

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.7Total

Shiga Lakes84.6

Nagasaki Velca81.1

1X2

60% 40%

Shiga Lakes Nagasaki Velca

Recent form · 10 last

Shiga Lakes 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Nagasaki Velca 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Shiga Lakes 0–6 Nagasaki Velca (6 last)

Shiga Lakes84-106Nagasaki Velca
Shiga Lakes82-107Nagasaki Velca
Nagasaki Velca69-67Shiga Lakes
Shiga Lakes89-101Nagasaki Velca
Nagasaki Velca83-73Shiga Lakes
Nagasaki Velca84-79Shiga Lakes

Model analysis

Estimated points165.7Shiga Lakes 84.6 · Nagasaki Velca 81.1

Match keys

H2H favours Nagasaki Velca: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shiga Lakes	Nagasaki Velca
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.9 / 86.9	72.4 / 79
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.8 / 91.6	73.4 / 74.2
Est. result	85	81

Est. total165.7

Line O/U160.5

Diff.5.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.83

2 (-1)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.83

Under 160.51.83

Diff.: 2.1 · Est. total: 162.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:47

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.55▼	Pinn 1.55
2	2.19 → 2.40▲	Pinn 2.40

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	2
15:33 +14’	1.67	2.19
15:57 +50’	1.55▼	2.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shiga Lakes 0–0–6 Nagasaki Velca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Shiga Lakes	84-106	Nagasaki Velca
13/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Shiga Lakes	82-107	Nagasaki Velca
16/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Nagasaki Velca	69-67	Shiga Lakes
29/01/25 Japan B League Premier	Shiga Lakes	89-101	Nagasaki Velca
15/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Nagasaki Velca	83-73	Shiga Lakes
14/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Nagasaki Velca	84-79	Shiga Lakes

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	7	7	0	638	518
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	9	9	0	833	714
3	San En Neo Phoenix	6	5	1	519	465
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	9	7	2	799	704
5	Mikawa Seahorses	7	5	2	630	539
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	9	5	4	757	707
7	Shimane Susanoo Magic	8	4	4	649	656
8	Shiga Lakes	9	4	5	804	796
9	Nagasaki Velca	10	4	6	724	790
10	Kobe Storks	9	2	7	689	763
11	Shinshu Brave Warriors	10	2	8	841	892
12	Osaka Evessa	9	1	8	626	795
13	Saga Ballooners	10	1	9	743	926

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shiga Lakes	Nagasaki Velca
Kobe Storks	92-80 W	85-69 W
Shinshu Brave Warriors	95-76 W	74-71 W
Tokyo Sun Rockers	85-92 L	63-95 L
Kyoto Hannaryz	81-77 W	65-90 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shiga Lakes (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shiga Lakes

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	92-80	W
19/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	67-99	L
12/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	95-76	W
10/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	105-111	L
07/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	85-92	L
04/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	98-72	W
03/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	87-94	L
27/09	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	81-77	W
25/09	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1	94-95	L
03/05	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	65-73	L

Nagasaki Velca

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	84-66	W
19/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	65-82	L
17/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	63-95	L
12/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	85-69	W
10/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	70-59	W
08/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	74-71	W
04/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	65-90	L
03/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	76-84	L
25/09	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	78-85	L
23/09	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League 1	64-89	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shiga Lakes vs Nagasaki Velca?

Our model gives 60% to Shiga Lakes.

How many points are expected in Shiga Lakes vs Nagasaki Velca?

The model estimates 165.7 total points (Shiga Lakes 84.6 · Nagasaki Velca 81.1).