Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 24/10, 07:05

Prediction: Toyama Grouses vs Shimane Susanoo Magic

Team pages: Toyama Grouses · Shimane Susanoo Magic

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169.1Total

Toyama Grouses85.6

Shimane Susanoo Magic83.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Toyama Grouses Shimane Susanoo Magic

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Toyama Grouses 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWWLW

Shimane Susanoo Magic 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWLLW

Head-to-head

Toyama Grouses 1–5 Shimane Susanoo Magic (6 last)

Shimane Susanoo Magic68-98Toyama Grouses
Toyama Grouses83-115Shimane Susanoo Magic
Shimane Susanoo Magic97-75Toyama Grouses
Toyama Grouses83-92Shimane Susanoo Magic
Shimane Susanoo Magic84-78Toyama Grouses
Shimane Susanoo Magic83-69Toyama Grouses

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Toyama Grouses 1519 · Shimane Susanoo Magic 1480

	Toyama Grouses	Shimane Susanoo Magic
Our model	68%	32%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 169.1 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points169.1Toyama Grouses 85.6 · Shimane Susanoo Magic 83.5

Match keys

H2H favours Shimane Susanoo Magic: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Toyama Grouses	Shimane Susanoo Magic
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.3 / 87.2	80.8 / 83.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.6 / 86.2	80.4 / 85.8
Est. result	86	84

Est. total169.1

Line O/U166.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.74

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 2.2 · Est. total: 168.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.81 ★
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.98

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	2
15:48 +2’	1.74	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:32 +17’	1.81	1.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Toyama Grouses 1–0–5 Shimane Susanoo Magic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Shimane Susanoo Magic	68-98	Toyama Grouses
12/11/25 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	83-115	Shimane Susanoo Magic
06/03/24 Japan B League Premier	Shimane Susanoo Magic	97-75	Toyama Grouses
08/11/23 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	83-92	Shimane Susanoo Magic
31/12/22 Japan B League Premier	Shimane Susanoo Magic	84-78	Toyama Grouses
30/12/22 Japan B League Premier	Shimane Susanoo Magic	83-69	Toyama Grouses

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	7	7	0	638	518
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	9	9	0	833	714
3	San En Neo Phoenix	6	5	1	519	465
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	9	7	2	799	704
5	Mikawa Seahorses	7	5	2	630	539
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	10	6	4	850	792
7	Shiga Lakes	10	5	5	893	881
8	Shimane Susanoo Magic	8	4	4	649	656
9	Nagasaki Velca	11	4	7	809	879
10	Kobe Storks	9	2	7	689	763
11	Shinshu Brave Warriors	10	2	8	841	892
12	Saga Ballooners	10	1	9	743	926
13	Osaka Evessa	10	1	9	697	890

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Toyama Grouses

WWLWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	105-87	W
18/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	56-99	L
11/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	94-74	W
09/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	96-90	W
07/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	77-81	L
04/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-99	L
03/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-67	W
27/09	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	81-99	L
26/09	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League 1	99-85	W
03/05	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	101-91	W

Shimane Susanoo Magic

WLWWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	80-69	W
17/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	78-97	L
10/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	69-90	L
07/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	95-83	W
04/10	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	80-90	L
03/10	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	73-85	L
25/09	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	85-78	W
23/09	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1	89-64	W
03/05	Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League Premier	68-90	L
02/05	Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League Premier	91-85	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toyama Grouses vs Shimane Susanoo Magic?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Toyama Grouses 56% · Shimane Susanoo Magic 44%).

How many points are expected in Toyama Grouses vs Shimane Susanoo Magic?

The model estimates 169.1 total points (Toyama Grouses 85.6 · Shimane Susanoo Magic 83.5).