Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 26/10, 11:05
Prediction: Altiri Chiba vs Gunma Crane Thunders
Team pages: Altiri Chiba · Gunma Crane Thunders
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.4Total
Altiri Chiba74.5
Gunma Crane Thunders84.9
1X2
Altiri Chiba
Gunma Crane Thunders
Recent form · 10 last
Altiri Chiba
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Gunma Crane Thunders
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Altiri Chiba
0–4
Gunma Crane Thunders
(4 last)
- Gunma Crane Thunders91-59Altiri Chiba
- Gunma Crane Thunders76-74Altiri Chiba
- Gunma Crane Thunders84-59Altiri Chiba
- Altiri Chiba79-88Gunma Crane Thunders
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Altiri Chiba 1424 · Gunma Crane Thunders 1530
| Altiri Chiba | Gunma Crane Thunders | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.4 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +1.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.4Altiri Chiba 74.5 · Gunma Crane Thunders 84.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gunma Crane Thunders (rating 1424 vs 1530).
- Gunma Crane Thunders is a clear favourite (77% market).
- H2H favours Gunma Crane Thunders: 4-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Altiri Chiba | Gunma Crane Thunders | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.2 / 87.8 | 78.3 / 75.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.8 / 88.8 | 76.4 / 81.4 |
| Est. result | 75 | 85 |
Est. total159.4
Line O/U157.5
Diff.1.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Altiri Chiba 0–0–4 Gunma Crane Thunders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/26 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 91-59 | Altiri Chiba |
| 24/09/26 Japan B League 1 | Gunma Crane Thunders | 76-74 | Altiri Chiba |
| 01/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 84-59 | Altiri Chiba |
| 05/11/25 Japan B League Premier | Altiri Chiba | 79-88 | Gunma Crane Thunders |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tokyo Alvark | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1017 | 914 | 0 |
| 2 | Sendai 89ers | 11 | 8 | 3 | 953 | 876 | 0 |
| 3 | Tokyo Sun Rockers | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1092 | 950 | 0 |
| 4 | Toyama Grouses | 10 | 6 | 4 | 844 | 860 | 0 |
| 5 | Gunma Crane Thunders | 10 | 6 | 4 | 783 | 753 | 0 |
| 6 | Levanga Hokkaido | 10 | 6 | 4 | 978 | 939 | 0 |
| 7 | Utsunomiya Brex | 10 | 5 | 5 | 806 | 810 | 0 |
| 8 | Yokohama B-Corsairs | 11 | 5 | 6 | 891 | 943 | 0 |
| 9 | Akita Northern Happinets | 10 | 4 | 6 | 787 | 857 | 0 |
| 10 | Ibaraki Robots | 11 | 4 | 7 | 899 | 889 | 0 |
| 11 | Chiba Jets | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1006 | 1078 | 0 |
| 12 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders | 10 | 3 | 7 | 808 | 853 | 0 |
| 13 | Altiri Chiba | 11 | 3 | 8 | 856 | 954 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Altiri Chiba | Gunma Crane Thunders |
|---|---|---|
| Ibaraki Robots | 87-102 L | 86-77 W |
| Ryukyu Golden Kings | 65-94 L | 85-93 L |
| Nagasaki Velca | 82-65 W | 59-70 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gunma Crane Thunders (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Altiri Chiba
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
87-102 | L |
| 21/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
65-94 | L |
| 19/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
82-65 | W |
| 17/10 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier |
71-89 | L |
| 11/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
74-94 | L |
| 09/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
97-90 | W |
| 07/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
74-81 | L |
| 04/10 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
74-82 | L |
| 03/10 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
99-90 | W |
| 26/09 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
59-91 | L |
Gunma Crane Thunders
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
85-93 | L |
| 19/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
80-83 | L |
| 17/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
86-100 | L |
| 12/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
72-61 | W |
| 10/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
59-70 | L |
| 08/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
76-65 | W |
| 04/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
86-77 | W |
| 03/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
72-71 | W |
| 26/09 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
91-59 | W |
| 24/09 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League 1 |
76-74 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Altiri Chiba vs Gunma Crane Thunders?
Our model gives 77% to Gunma Crane Thunders.
How many points are expected in Altiri Chiba vs Gunma Crane Thunders?
The model estimates 159.4 total points (Altiri Chiba 74.5 · Gunma Crane Thunders 84.9).