Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 02/10, 12:05

Prediction: Chiba Jets vs Tokyo Alvark

Team pages: Chiba Jets · Tokyo Alvark

Prediction summary

Estimated points

164.9Total

Chiba Jets82.1

Tokyo Alvark82.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Chiba Jets Tokyo Alvark

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Chiba Jets 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Tokyo Alvark 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chiba Jets 4–2 Tokyo Alvark (6 last)

Chiba Jets72-64Tokyo Alvark
Chiba Jets73-75Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark69-81Chiba Jets
Tokyo Alvark78-69Chiba Jets
Tokyo Alvark65-92Chiba Jets
Tokyo Alvark53-78Chiba Jets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiba Jets 1502 · Tokyo Alvark 1526

	Chiba Jets	Tokyo Alvark
Our model	59%	41%
Market	45%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 164.9 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · +1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points164.9Chiba Jets 82.1 · Tokyo Alvark 82.8

Match keys

H2H favours Chiba Jets: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chiba Jets	Tokyo Alvark
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85 / 84.7	85.8 / 83.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83 / 87.8	77.6 / 88.8
Est. result	82	83

Est. total164.9

Line O/U163.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.05

21.69

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4)1.83

2 (-4)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 163.51.83

Under 163.51.83

Diff.: 6.2 · Est. total: 169.7

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 10:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.80 ★
2	2.25 → 1.69▼	Bet365 1.69

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	2
17:42 +7’	1.57	2.25
20:46 +5’	1.74▲	1.95▼
08:34 +11’	1.83▲	1.83▼
10:44 +2’	2.05▲	1.69▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:46 +3’	1.68	2.16
16:46 +2’	1.75▲	2.07▼
17:41 +8’	1.90▲	1.88▼
18:36 +14’	1.88▼	1.90▲
20:41 +10’	1.91▲	1.88▼
21:33 +17’	1.93▲	1.86▼
21:56 +51’	1.95▲	1.83▼
00:50 +56’	1.99▲	1.81▼
03:18 +28’	1.98▼	1.81▲
06:12 +35’	2.04▲	1.76▼
07:45	1.93▼	1.88▲
08:44 +2’	2.15▲	1.71▼
09:45	2.33▲	1.61▼
10:26 +21’	2.44▲	1.56▼
11:46	2.80▲	1.44▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chiba Jets 4–0–2 Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Japan B League 1	Chiba Jets	72-64	Tokyo Alvark
07/02/26 Japan B League 1	Chiba Jets	73-75	Tokyo Alvark
02/11/25 Japan B League 1	Tokyo Alvark	69-81	Chiba Jets
01/11/25 Japan B League 1	Tokyo Alvark	78-69	Chiba Jets
11/05/25 Japan B League 1	Tokyo Alvark	65-92	Chiba Jets
10/05/25 Japan B League 1	Tokyo Alvark	53-78	Chiba Jets

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Gunma Crane Thunders	2	2	0	167	133
2	Tokyo Alvark	3	2	1	296	289
3	Sendai 89ers	2	1	1	154	130
4	Utsunomiya Brex	2	1	1	159	152
5	Yokohama B-Corsairs	2	1	1	152	159
6	Akita Northern Happinets	2	1	1	130	154
7	Tokyo Sun Rockers	2	1	1	187	176
8	Levanga Hokkaido	2	1	1	183	175
9	Toyama Grouses	2	1	1	180	184
10	Chiba Jets	3	1	2	307	325
11	Ibaraki Robots	2	0	2	157	171
12	Altiri Chiba	2	0	2	133	167
13	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	2	0	2	141	183

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Chiba Jets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League 1	79-95	L
25/09	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League 1	97-92	W
16/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1	93-102	L
15/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1	74-82	L
11/05	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League 1	72-68	W
10/05	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League 1	85-79	W
09/05	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League 1	68-87	L
03/05	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	96-87	W
02/05	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	98-81	W
26/04	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1	88-74	W

Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	74-85	L
22/09	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	84-73	W
08/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1	56-96	L
07/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1	78-93	L
03/05	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1	96-97	L
02/05	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1	111-104	W
26/04	Shiga Lakes Japan B League 1	87-77	W
25/04	Shiga Lakes Japan B League 1	101-74	W
22/04	Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League 1	92-71	W
19/04	Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League Premier	79-69	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiba Jets vs Tokyo Alvark?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Chiba Jets 48% · Tokyo Alvark 52%).

How many points are expected in Chiba Jets vs Tokyo Alvark?

The model estimates 164.9 total points (Chiba Jets 82.1 · Tokyo Alvark 82.8).