Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 03/10, 07:05

Prediction: Tokyo Sun Rockers vs Akita Northern Happinets

Team pages: Akita Northern Happinets

Prediction summary

Estimated points

151.7Total

Tokyo Sun Rockers79.9

Akita Northern Happinets71.8

1X2

72% 28%

Tokyo Sun Rockers Akita Northern Happinets

Recent form · 10 last

Tokyo Sun Rockers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Akita Northern Happinets 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tokyo Sun Rockers 5–1 Akita Northern Happinets (6 last)

Tokyo Sun Rockers86-69Akita Northern Happinets
Tokyo Sun Rockers76-69Akita Northern Happinets
Tokyo Sun Rockers78-71Akita Northern Happinets
Tokyo Sun Rockers65-77Akita Northern Happinets
Akita Northern Happinets63-65Tokyo Sun Rockers
Akita Northern Happinets64-69Tokyo Sun Rockers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tokyo Sun Rockers 1488 · Akita Northern Happinets 1409

	Tokyo Sun Rockers	Akita Northern Happinets
Our model	73%	27%
Market	72%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 151.7 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · -9.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points151.7Tokyo Sun Rockers 79.9 · Akita Northern Happinets 71.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo Sun Rockers (rating 1488 vs 1409).
Tokyo Sun Rockers is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours Tokyo Sun Rockers: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tokyo Sun Rockers	Akita Northern Happinets
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.7 / 79.8	68.2 / 84.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.2 / 83.2	69.8 / 84
Est. result	80	72

Est. total151.7

Line O/U161.5

Diff.9.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.28

23.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 161.51.83

Under 161.51.83

Diff.: 7.3 · Est. total: 154.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
2	3.35 → 3.35	Pinn 3.71 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	2
19:02 +6’	1.28	3.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
19:05 +3’	1.25	3.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Sun Rockers 5–0–1 Akita Northern Happinets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/10/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Sun Rockers	86-69	Akita Northern Happinets
04/10/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Sun Rockers	76-69	Akita Northern Happinets
13/10/24 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Sun Rockers	78-71	Akita Northern Happinets
12/10/24 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Sun Rockers	65-77	Akita Northern Happinets
31/03/24 Japan B League Premier	Akita Northern Happinets	63-65	Tokyo Sun Rockers
30/03/24 Japan B League Premier	Akita Northern Happinets	64-69	Tokyo Sun Rockers

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Gunma Crane Thunders	2	2	0	167	133
2	Tokyo Alvark	3	2	1	296	289
3	Sendai 89ers	2	1	1	154	130
4	Utsunomiya Brex	2	1	1	159	152
5	Yokohama B-Corsairs	2	1	1	152	159
6	Akita Northern Happinets	2	1	1	130	154
7	Tokyo Sun Rockers	2	1	1	187	176
8	Levanga Hokkaido	2	1	1	183	175
9	Toyama Grouses	2	1	1	180	184
10	Chiba Jets	3	1	2	307	325
11	Ibaraki Robots	2	0	2	157	171
12	Altiri Chiba	2	0	2	133	167
13	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	2	0	2	141	183

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tokyo Sun Rockers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Chiba Jets Japan B League 1	95-79	W
25/09	Chiba Jets Japan B League 1	92-97	L
03/05	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	73-65	W
02/05	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	81-88	L
26/04	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	85-87	L
25/04	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	79-69	W
22/04	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	68-86	L
19/04	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	70-67	W
18/04	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	60-69	L
15/04	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	54-91	L

Akita Northern Happinets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	75-73	W
26/09	Sendai 89ers Japan B League 1	55-81	L
03/05	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	70-87	L
02/05	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	72-85	L
26/04	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	77-94	L
25/04	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	72-82	L
22/04	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	76-108	L
19/04	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	74-75	L
18/04	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	65-83	L
15/04	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	46-79	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tokyo Sun Rockers vs Akita Northern Happinets?

Our model gives 72% to Tokyo Sun Rockers.

How many points are expected in Tokyo Sun Rockers vs Akita Northern Happinets?

The model estimates 151.7 total points (Tokyo Sun Rockers 79.9 · Akita Northern Happinets 71.8).