Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 04/10, 07:05

Prediction: Toyama Grouses vs Utsunomiya Brex

Team pages: Toyama Grouses · Utsunomiya Brex

Prediction summary

Estimated points

163.7Total

Toyama Grouses81

Utsunomiya Brex82.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

45% 55%

Toyama Grouses Utsunomiya Brex

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Toyama Grouses 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWLW

Utsunomiya Brex 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Toyama Grouses 1–5 Utsunomiya Brex (6 last)

Toyama Grouses77-67Utsunomiya Brex
Toyama Grouses85-89Utsunomiya Brex
Toyama Grouses66-85Utsunomiya Brex
Toyama Grouses51-80Utsunomiya Brex
Toyama Grouses60-85Utsunomiya Brex
Toyama Grouses76-82Utsunomiya Brex

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Toyama Grouses 1517 · Utsunomiya Brex 1502

	Toyama Grouses	Utsunomiya Brex
Our model	65%	35%
Market	40%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 163.7 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points163.7Toyama Grouses 81 · Utsunomiya Brex 82.7

Match keys

H2H favours Utsunomiya Brex: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Toyama Grouses	Utsunomiya Brex
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.3 / 83.5	79 / 77.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90.8 / 86.2	74.8 / 78.6
Est. result	81	83

Est. total163.7

Line O/U163.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.83

2 (-5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 163.51.83

Under 163.51.83

Diff.: 0.2 · Est. total: 163.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.90 ★
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
15:20 +7’	2.30	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:24 +4’	2.90	1.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Toyama Grouses 1–0–5 Utsunomiya Brex

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/10/26 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	77-67	Utsunomiya Brex
12/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	85-89	Utsunomiya Brex
11/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	66-85	Utsunomiya Brex
12/11/23 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	51-80	Utsunomiya Brex
11/11/23 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	60-85	Utsunomiya Brex
11/12/22 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	76-82	Utsunomiya Brex

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Gunma Crane Thunders	2	2	0	167	133
2	Tokyo Alvark	3	2	1	296	289
3	Sendai 89ers	2	1	1	154	130
4	Utsunomiya Brex	2	1	1	159	152
5	Yokohama B-Corsairs	2	1	1	152	159
6	Akita Northern Happinets	2	1	1	130	154
7	Tokyo Sun Rockers	2	1	1	187	176
8	Levanga Hokkaido	2	1	1	183	175
9	Toyama Grouses	2	1	1	180	184
10	Chiba Jets	3	1	2	307	325
11	Ibaraki Robots	2	0	2	157	171
12	Altiri Chiba	2	0	2	133	167
13	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	2	0	2	141	183

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Toyama Grouses

LWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-67	W
27/09	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	81-99	L
26/09	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League 1	99-85	W
03/05	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1	101-91	W
02/05	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1	96-89	W
26/04	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	94-77	W
25/04	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	82-72	W
22/04	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier	86-94	L
19/04	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	92-89	W
18/04	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	55-72	L

Utsunomiya Brex

WWWWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	67-77	L
27/09	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	71-74	L
26/09	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League 1	88-78	W
10/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	66-75	L
09/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	82-89	L
03/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	70-92	L
02/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	83-82	W
26/04	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
25/04	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	87-69	W
22/04	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	86-68	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toyama Grouses vs Utsunomiya Brex?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Toyama Grouses 45% · Utsunomiya Brex 55%).

How many points are expected in Toyama Grouses vs Utsunomiya Brex?

The model estimates 163.7 total points (Toyama Grouses 81 · Utsunomiya Brex 82.7).