Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 22/10, 12:05
Prediction: Tokyo Alvark vs Ibaraki Robots
Team pages: Tokyo Alvark · Ibaraki Robots
Prediction summary
Estimated points
171.8Total
Tokyo Alvark91.3
Ibaraki Robots80.5
1X2
Tokyo Alvark
Ibaraki Robots
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo Alvark
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Ibaraki Robots
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokyo Alvark
6–0
Ibaraki Robots
(6 last)
- Tokyo Alvark94-84Ibaraki Robots
- Tokyo Alvark81-68Ibaraki Robots
- Ibaraki Robots86-90Tokyo Alvark
- Ibaraki Robots70-73Tokyo Alvark
- Tokyo Alvark78-74Ibaraki Robots
- Tokyo Alvark79-67Ibaraki Robots
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tokyo Alvark 1592 · Ibaraki Robots 1453
| Tokyo Alvark | Ibaraki Robots | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
171.8 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +1.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points171.8Tokyo Alvark 91.3 · Ibaraki Robots 80.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo Alvark (rating 1592 vs 1453).
- Tokyo Alvark is a clear favourite (78% market).
- H2H favours Tokyo Alvark: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tokyo Alvark | Ibaraki Robots | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.5 / 85 | 81.9 / 81.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 95.4 / 78.8 | 84.6 / 81.4 |
| Est. result | 91 | 81 |
Est. total171.8
Line O/U170.5
Diff.1.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Alvark 6–0–0 Ibaraki Robots
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Alvark | 94-84 | Ibaraki Robots |
| 18/10/25 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Alvark | 81-68 | Ibaraki Robots |
| 23/03/25 Japan B League Premier | Ibaraki Robots | 86-90 | Tokyo Alvark |
| 22/03/25 Japan B League Premier | Ibaraki Robots | 70-73 | Tokyo Alvark |
| 22/09/24 Japan Emperor Cup | Tokyo Alvark | 78-74 | Ibaraki Robots |
| 14/04/24 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Alvark | 79-67 | Ibaraki Robots |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tokyo Alvark | 9 | 8 | 1 | 869 | 754 | 0 |
| 2 | Tokyo Sun Rockers | 10 | 7 | 3 | 912 | 783 | 0 |
| 3 | Sendai 89ers | 9 | 6 | 3 | 769 | 722 | 0 |
| 4 | Gunma Crane Thunders | 9 | 6 | 3 | 698 | 660 | 0 |
| 5 | Toyama Grouses | 9 | 5 | 4 | 762 | 781 | 0 |
| 6 | Levanga Hokkaido | 9 | 5 | 4 | 882 | 846 | 0 |
| 7 | Yokohama B-Corsairs | 9 | 5 | 4 | 733 | 757 | 0 |
| 8 | Utsunomiya Brex | 9 | 4 | 5 | 719 | 730 | 0 |
| 9 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders | 9 | 3 | 6 | 726 | 760 | 0 |
| 10 | Akita Northern Happinets | 9 | 3 | 6 | 692 | 771 | 0 |
| 11 | Altiri Chiba | 10 | 3 | 7 | 769 | 852 | 0 |
| 12 | Chiba Jets | 10 | 3 | 7 | 919 | 1013 | 0 |
| 13 | Ibaraki Robots | 9 | 2 | 7 | 728 | 736 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tokyo Alvark | Ibaraki Robots |
|---|---|---|
| Gunma Crane Thunders | 100-86 W | 77-86 L |
| Osaka Evessa | 103-78 W | 98-63 W |
| Kanagawa Brave Thunders | 94-82 W | 82-74 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tokyo Alvark (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokyo Alvark
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
90-74 | W |
| 17/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
100-86 | W |
| 12/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
103-78 | W |
| 10/10 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
94-82 | W |
| 08/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
90-74 | W |
| 04/10 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
96-71 | W |
| 02/10 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
138-131 | W |
| 23/09 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1 |
74-85 | L |
| 22/09 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1 |
84-73 | W |
| 08/05 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
56-96 | L |
Ibaraki Robots
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
98-63 | W |
| 16/10 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
82-74 | W |
| 11/10 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
78-90 | L |
| 09/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
79-90 | L |
| 07/10 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier |
86-90 | L |
| 04/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
77-86 | L |
| 03/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
71-72 | L |
| 27/09 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
75-81 | L |
| 25/09 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League 1 |
82-90 | L |
| 03/05 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
91-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokyo Alvark vs Ibaraki Robots?
Our model gives 78% to Tokyo Alvark.
How many points are expected in Tokyo Alvark vs Ibaraki Robots?
The model estimates 171.8 total points (Tokyo Alvark 91.3 · Ibaraki Robots 80.5).