Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 23/10, 12:05
Prediction: Osaka Evessa vs Tokyo Sun Rockers
Team pages: Osaka Evessa · Tokyo Sun Rockers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158.8Total
Osaka Evessa71.9
Tokyo Sun Rockers87
1X2
Osaka Evessa
Tokyo Sun Rockers
Recent form · 10 last
Osaka Evessa
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Tokyo Sun Rockers
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Osaka Evessa
2–4
Tokyo Sun Rockers
(6 last)
- Tokyo Sun Rockers51-78Osaka Evessa
- Tokyo Sun Rockers73-65Osaka Evessa
- Osaka Evessa76-70Tokyo Sun Rockers
- Osaka Evessa66-71Tokyo Sun Rockers
- Tokyo Sun Rockers77-65Osaka Evessa
- Tokyo Sun Rockers79-56Osaka Evessa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Osaka Evessa 1405 · Tokyo Sun Rockers 1548
| Osaka Evessa | Tokyo Sun Rockers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
Estimated total (ours)
158.8 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · -7.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points158.8Osaka Evessa 71.9 · Tokyo Sun Rockers 87
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo Sun Rockers (rating 1405 vs 1548).
- Tokyo Sun Rockers is a clear favourite (86% market).
- H2H favours Tokyo Sun Rockers: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Osaka Evessa | Tokyo Sun Rockers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 70.5 / 88.6 | 91.2 / 78.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 71 / 93 | 91.4 / 76.6 |
| Est. result | 72 | 87 |
Est. total158.8
Line O/U166.5
Diff.7.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Osaka Evessa 2–0–4 Tokyo Sun Rockers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/25 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Sun Rockers | 51-78 | Osaka Evessa |
| 27/12/25 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Sun Rockers | 73-65 | Osaka Evessa |
| 08/12/24 Japan B League Premier | Osaka Evessa | 76-70 | Tokyo Sun Rockers |
| 07/12/24 Japan B League Premier | Osaka Evessa | 66-71 | Tokyo Sun Rockers |
| 10/12/23 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Sun Rockers | 77-65 | Osaka Evessa |
| 09/12/23 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Sun Rockers | 79-56 | Osaka Evessa |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 7 | 7 | 0 | 638 | 518 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 9 | 9 | 0 | 833 | 714 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 6 | 5 | 1 | 519 | 465 | 0 |
| 4 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 9 | 7 | 2 | 799 | 704 | 0 |
| 5 | Mikawa Seahorses | 7 | 5 | 2 | 630 | 539 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 9 | 5 | 4 | 757 | 707 | 0 |
| 7 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 8 | 4 | 4 | 649 | 656 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 9 | 4 | 5 | 804 | 796 | 0 |
| 9 | Nagasaki Velca | 10 | 4 | 6 | 724 | 790 | 0 |
| 10 | Kobe Storks | 9 | 2 | 7 | 689 | 763 | 0 |
| 11 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 10 | 2 | 8 | 841 | 892 | 0 |
| 12 | Osaka Evessa | 9 | 1 | 8 | 626 | 795 | 0 |
| 13 | Saga Ballooners | 10 | 1 | 9 | 743 | 926 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Osaka Evessa
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
67-101 | L |
| 18/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
63-98 | L |
| 12/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
78-103 | L |
| 09/10 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
90-97 | L |
| 07/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
57-66 | L |
| 04/10 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
57-101 | L |
| 03/10 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
57-76 | L |
| 27/09 | Kobe Storks Japan B League 1 |
78-84 | L |
| 26/09 | Kobe Storks Japan B League 1 |
79-69 | W |
| 03/05 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
79-91 | L |
Tokyo Sun Rockers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
97-90 | W |
| 19/10 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
107-64 | W |
| 17/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
95-63 | W |
| 11/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
68-70 | L |
| 09/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
90-96 | L |
| 07/10 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
92-85 | W |
| 04/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
86-76 | W |
| 03/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
90-63 | W |
| 26/09 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
95-79 | W |
| 25/09 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
92-97 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Osaka Evessa vs Tokyo Sun Rockers?
Our model gives 86% to Tokyo Sun Rockers.
How many points are expected in Osaka Evessa vs Tokyo Sun Rockers?
The model estimates 158.8 total points (Osaka Evessa 71.9 · Tokyo Sun Rockers 87).