Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 24/10, 08:05
Prediction: Utsunomiya Brex vs Shinshu Brave Warriors
Team pages: Utsunomiya Brex
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.7Total
Utsunomiya Brex86.9
Shinshu Brave Warriors78.8
1X2
Utsunomiya Brex
Shinshu Brave Warriors
Recent form · 10 last
Utsunomiya Brex
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Shinshu Brave Warriors
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Utsunomiya Brex
4–2
Shinshu Brave Warriors
(6 last)
- Utsunomiya Brex82-64Shinshu Brave Warriors
- Shinshu Brave Warriors55-77Utsunomiya Brex
- Shinshu Brave Warriors59-73Utsunomiya Brex
- Shinshu Brave Warriors70-62Utsunomiya Brex
- Shinshu Brave Warriors83-61Utsunomiya Brex
- Shinshu Brave Warriors61-83Utsunomiya Brex
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Utsunomiya Brex 1482 · Shinshu Brave Warriors 1408
| Utsunomiya Brex | Shinshu Brave Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.7 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -1.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.7Utsunomiya Brex 86.9 · Shinshu Brave Warriors 78.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Utsunomiya Brex (rating 1482 vs 1408).
- Utsunomiya Brex is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Utsunomiya Brex: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Utsunomiya Brex | Shinshu Brave Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.5 / 80.5 | 84.1 / 89.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.8 / 84.8 | 83.8 / 93.8 |
| Est. result | 87 | 79 |
Est. total165.7
Line O/U167.5
Diff.1.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Utsunomiya Brex 4–0–2 Shinshu Brave Warriors
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/26 Japan Emperor Cup | Utsunomiya Brex | 82-64 | Shinshu Brave Warriors |
| 30/12/23 Japan B League Premier | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 55-77 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 29/12/23 Japan B League Premier | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 59-73 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 01/01/23 Japan B League Premier | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 70-62 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 31/12/22 Japan B League Premier | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 83-61 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 05/12/21 Japan B League Premier | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 61-83 | Utsunomiya Brex |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 7 | 7 | 0 | 638 | 518 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 9 | 9 | 0 | 833 | 714 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 6 | 5 | 1 | 519 | 465 | 0 |
| 4 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 9 | 7 | 2 | 799 | 704 | 0 |
| 5 | Mikawa Seahorses | 7 | 5 | 2 | 630 | 539 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 10 | 6 | 4 | 850 | 792 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 10 | 5 | 5 | 893 | 881 | 0 |
| 8 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 8 | 4 | 4 | 649 | 656 | 0 |
| 9 | Nagasaki Velca | 11 | 4 | 7 | 809 | 879 | 0 |
| 10 | Kobe Storks | 9 | 2 | 7 | 689 | 763 | 0 |
| 11 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 10 | 2 | 8 | 841 | 892 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 10 | 1 | 9 | 743 | 926 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 10 | 1 | 9 | 697 | 890 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Utsunomiya Brex | Shinshu Brave Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 69-98 L | 77-92 L |
| Akita Northern Happinets | 71-82 L | 95-102 L |
| Toyama Grouses | 99-77 W | 99-81 W |
| Yokohama B-Corsairs | 71-74 L | 89-84 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shinshu Brave Warriors (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Utsunomiya Brex
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
69-98 | L |
| 19/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
83-80 | W |
| 17/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
81-85 | L |
| 11/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
71-82 | L |
| 09/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
90-79 | W |
| 04/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
99-77 | W |
| 03/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
67-77 | L |
| 27/09 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
71-74 | L |
| 26/09 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League 1 |
88-78 | W |
| 10/05 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
66-75 | L |
Shinshu Brave Warriors
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
90-97 | L |
| 19/10 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
77-92 | L |
| 17/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
95-102 | L |
| 12/10 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
76-95 | L |
| 10/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
81-83 | L |
| 08/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
71-74 | L |
| 04/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
89-84 | W |
| 03/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
78-85 | L |
| 27/09 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
99-81 | W |
| 26/09 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League 1 |
85-99 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Utsunomiya Brex vs Shinshu Brave Warriors?
Our model gives 72% to Utsunomiya Brex.
How many points are expected in Utsunomiya Brex vs Shinshu Brave Warriors?
The model estimates 165.7 total points (Utsunomiya Brex 86.9 · Shinshu Brave Warriors 78.8).