Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 24/10, 08:05

Prediction: Tokyo Alvark vs Mikawa Seahorses

Team pages: Tokyo Alvark · Mikawa Seahorses

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.1Total

Tokyo Alvark86.4

Mikawa Seahorses81.7

1X2

63% 37%

Tokyo Alvark Mikawa Seahorses

Recent form · 10 last

Tokyo Alvark 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Mikawa Seahorses 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tokyo Alvark 5–1 Mikawa Seahorses (6 last)

Tokyo Alvark72-64Mikawa Seahorses
Mikawa Seahorses79-82Tokyo Alvark
Mikawa Seahorses73-82Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark73-67Mikawa Seahorses
Mikawa Seahorses65-87Tokyo Alvark
Mikawa Seahorses76-65Tokyo Alvark

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tokyo Alvark 1599 · Mikawa Seahorses 1501

	Tokyo Alvark	Mikawa Seahorses
Our model	75%	25%
Market	60%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 168.1 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168.1Tokyo Alvark 86.4 · Mikawa Seahorses 81.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo Alvark (rating 1599 vs 1501).
H2H favours Tokyo Alvark: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tokyo Alvark	Mikawa Seahorses
Points F\|A (Last 10)	93.5 / 82.3	84.9 / 79.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90.6 / 77.8	91 / 71.2
Est. result	86	82

Est. total168.1

Line O/U167.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.55

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.83

2 (+3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 2.75 · Est. total: 170.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.85 ★
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	2
18:37 +17’	1.55	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:40 +9’	1.85	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 167.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Alvark 5–0–1 Mikawa Seahorses

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/01/26 Japan Emperor Cup	Tokyo Alvark	72-64	Mikawa Seahorses
28/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	79-82	Tokyo Alvark
27/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	73-82	Tokyo Alvark
16/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	73-67	Mikawa Seahorses
29/01/25 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	65-87	Tokyo Alvark
03/11/24 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	76-65	Tokyo Alvark

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	7	7	0	638	518
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	9	9	0	833	714
3	San En Neo Phoenix	6	5	1	519	465
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	9	7	2	799	704
5	Mikawa Seahorses	7	5	2	630	539
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	10	6	4	850	792
7	Shiga Lakes	10	5	5	893	881
8	Shimane Susanoo Magic	8	4	4	649	656
9	Nagasaki Velca	11	4	7	809	879
10	Kobe Storks	9	2	7	689	763
11	Shinshu Brave Warriors	10	2	8	841	892
12	Saga Ballooners	10	1	9	743	926
13	Osaka Evessa	10	1	9	697	890

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tokyo Alvark	Mikawa Seahorses
Osaka Evessa	103-78 W	101-57 W
Ryukyu Golden Kings	74-85 L	79-82 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mikawa Seahorses (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	66-69	L
19/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
17/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	100-86	W
12/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	103-78	W
10/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	94-82	W
08/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
04/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	96-71	W
02/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	138-131	W
23/09	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	74-85	L
22/09	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	84-73	W

Mikawa Seahorses

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	99-56	W
11/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	89-81	W
09/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	90-105	L
04/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	101-57	W
03/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	76-57	W
27/09	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	78-77	W
26/09	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1	97-106	L
09/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	79-82	L
08/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	65-79	L
03/05	Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League Premier	75-98	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tokyo Alvark vs Mikawa Seahorses?

Our model gives 63% to Tokyo Alvark.

How many points are expected in Tokyo Alvark vs Mikawa Seahorses?

The model estimates 168.1 total points (Tokyo Alvark 86.4 · Mikawa Seahorses 81.7).