Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 25/10, 09:05

Prediction: Tokyo Sun Rockers vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Team pages: Tokyo Sun Rockers · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Prediction summary

Estimated points

160Total

Tokyo Sun Rockers78

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins81.9

1X2

39% 61%

Tokyo Sun Rockers Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Recent form · 10 last

Tokyo Sun Rockers 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWWWW

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tokyo Sun Rockers 1–5 Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (6 last)

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins84-59Tokyo Sun Rockers
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins72-62Tokyo Sun Rockers
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins71-68Tokyo Sun Rockers
Tokyo Sun Rockers85-59Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins77-75Tokyo Sun Rockers
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins71-70Tokyo Sun Rockers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tokyo Sun Rockers 1552 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 1642

	Tokyo Sun Rockers	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Our model	50%	50%
Market	36%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 160 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -9.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points160Tokyo Sun Rockers 78 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 81.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (rating 1552 vs 1642).
H2H favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tokyo Sun Rockers	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.5 / 75.7	85.2 / 75.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.4 / 71.6	91 / 75.4
Est. result	78	82

Est. total160

Line O/U169.5

Diff.9.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.60

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.83

2 (-4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 5.35 · Est. total: 164.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 19:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.60▲	Pinn 2.79 ★
2	1.74 → 1.45▼	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.2% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	2
12:02 +2’	1.95	1.74
18:52 +6’	2.30▲	1.55▼
19:42 +14’	2.60▲	1.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:49 +24’	2.60	1.48
17:27 +34’	2.85▲	1.40▼
21:14 +34’	2.84▼	1.40▲
23:01 +46’	2.79▼	1.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Sun Rockers 1–0–5 Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	84-59	Tokyo Sun Rockers
07/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	72-62	Tokyo Sun Rockers
16/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	71-68	Tokyo Sun Rockers
29/01/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Sun Rockers	85-59	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
29/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	77-75	Tokyo Sun Rockers
28/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	71-70	Tokyo Sun Rockers

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	7	7	0	638	518
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	10	9	1	926	810
3	San En Neo Phoenix	7	6	1	610	554
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	9	7	2	799	704
5	Mikawa Seahorses	8	6	2	721	621
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	10	6	4	850	792
7	Shiga Lakes	10	5	5	893	881
8	Shimane Susanoo Magic	9	4	5	728	738
9	Nagasaki Velca	11	4	7	809	879
10	Kobe Storks	10	2	8	778	854
11	Shinshu Brave Warriors	11	2	9	921	979
12	Saga Ballooners	10	1	9	743	926
13	Osaka Evessa	10	1	9	697	890

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tokyo Sun Rockers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	95-71	W
21/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	97-90	W
19/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	107-64	W
17/10	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	95-63	W
11/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	68-70	L
09/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	90-96	L
07/10	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	92-85	W
04/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	86-76	W
03/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	90-63	W
26/09	Chiba Jets Japan B League 1	95-79	W

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	98-69	W
19/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	92-77	W
11/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-78	W
04/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	90-80	W
03/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	85-73	W
27/09	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	90-78	W
26/09	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League 1	93-63	W
16/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	74-90	L
15/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	65-85	L
10/05	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	75-66	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tokyo Sun Rockers vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?

Our model gives 61% to Nagoya Diamond Dolphins.

How many points are expected in Tokyo Sun Rockers vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?

The model estimates 160 total points (Tokyo Sun Rockers 78 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 81.9).