Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 28/07, 01:15

Prediction: Sayago vs Olimpia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

154.9Total

Sayago78.7

Olimpia76.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Sayago Olimpia

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Sayago 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Olimpia 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sayago 2–4 Olimpia (6 last)

Olimpia92-59Sayago
Sayago83-65Olimpia
Sayago99-77Olimpia

Model analysis

Estimated points154.9Sayago 78.7 · Olimpia 76.2

Match keys

H2H favours Olimpia: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sayago	Olimpia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.6 / 75.9	81.9 / 70.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82.2 / 73.8	75 / 68.2
Est. result	79	76

Est. total154.9

Line O/U154

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1541.94

Under 1541.81

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 155.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Pinn 1.90
2	1.84 → 1.84	Pinn 1.84

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	2
01:44 +1’	1.90	1.84

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sayago 2–0–4 Olimpia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/09/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	Olimpia	92-59	Sayago
13/07/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	Sayago	83-65	Olimpia
30/08/23 Uruguay Metro League	Sayago	99-77	Olimpia
21/06/23 Uruguay Metro League	Sayago	75-79	Olimpia
11/02/20 Uruguay Liga	Sayago	82-89	Olimpia
03/12/19 Uruguay Liga	Olimpia	89-70	Sayago

Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Olimpia	12	10	2	1011	901	22
2	Trouville	12	10	2	1019	851	22
3	Stockolmo	12	9	3	908	794	21
4	Tabare	12	8	4	971	888	20
5	Sayago	12	7	5	961	931	19
6	Verdirrojo	11	7	4	842	793	18
7	Urupan de Pando	11	6	5	865	855	17
8	Montevideo	11	5	6	953	933	16
9	Larre Borges	11	5	6	879	901	16
10	Lagomar	11	5	6	839	885	16
11	Olivol Mundial	12	3	9	790	895	15
12	Albatros	12	2	10	937	1074	14
13	Marne	11	3	8	806	884	14
14	Colon	12	1	11	839	1035	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sayago	Olimpia
Tabare	91-86 W	66-69 L
Stockolmo	66-75 L	86-74 W
Marne	77-73 W	88-80 W
Colon	90-63 W	89-67 W
Albatros	87-72 W	101-75 W
Larre Borges	77-60 W	96-77 W
Lagomar	88-90 L	70-67 W
Verdirrojo	68-82 L	69-59 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sayago

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/07	Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	91-86	W
21/07	Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	66-75	L
18/07	Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	77-73	W
14/07	Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	90-63	W
11/07	Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	87-72	W
08/07	Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	77-60	W
05/07	Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	88-90	L
01/07	Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	90-83	W
25/06	Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	82-75	W
18/06	Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	68-82	L

Olimpia

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/07	Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	93-81	W
22/07	Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	61-58	W
18/07	Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	69-59	W
15/07	Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	66-69	L
10/07	Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	86-74	W
07/07	Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	88-80	W
04/07	Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	89-67	W
30/06	Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	101-75	W
24/06	Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	96-77	W
19/06	Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso	70-67	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sayago vs Olimpia?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Sayago 57% · Olimpia 43%).

How many points are expected in Sayago vs Olimpia?

The model estimates 154.9 total points (Sayago 78.7 · Olimpia 76.2).