Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 01/08, 02:15
Prediction: Verdirrojo vs Tabare
Team pages: Verdirrojo · Tabare
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.5Total
Verdirrojo77.7
Tabare74.8
1X2
Verdirrojo
Tabare
Markets
Under 154.5 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Verdirrojo
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Tabare
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Verdirrojo
2–4
Tabare
(6 last)
- Tabare84-80Verdirrojo
- Verdirrojo90-62Tabare
- Verdirrojo71-83Tabare
- Tabare82-62Verdirrojo
- Verdirrojo68-61Tabare
- Tabare89-77Verdirrojo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Verdirrojo 1545 · Tabare 1546
| Verdirrojo | Tabare | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
152.5 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · -2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points152.5Verdirrojo 77.7 · Tabare 74.8
Over / Under 154.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~148 pts · strength 6
Match keys
- H2H favours Tabare: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Verdirrojo | Tabare | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.2 / 70.9 | 82.1 / 74 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76 / 68.8 | 78 / 78.2 |
| Est. result | 78 | 75 |
Est. total152.5
Line O/U154.5
Diff.2
Over / Under30% / 70%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Verdirrojo 2–0–4 Tabare
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Tabare | 84-80 | Verdirrojo |
| 28/06/25 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Verdirrojo | 90-62 | Tabare |
| 24/08/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Verdirrojo | 71-83 | Tabare |
| 25/06/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Tabare | 82-62 | Verdirrojo |
| 29/07/23 Uruguay Metro League | Verdirrojo | 68-61 | Tabare |
| 03/07/22 Uruguay Metro League | Tabare | 89-77 | Verdirrojo |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1101 | 979 | 24 |
| 2 | Trouville | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1106 | 929 | 24 |
| 3 | Stockolmo | 13 | 9 | 4 | 983 | 881 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdirrojo | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1020 | 945 | 22 |
| 5 | Tabare | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1068 | 988 | 21 |
| 6 | Sayago | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1039 | 1021 | 20 |
| 7 | Lagomar | 13 | 7 | 6 | 992 | 1016 | 20 |
| 8 | Montevideo | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1142 | 1075 | 20 |
| 9 | Urupan de Pando | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1026 | 1023 | 20 |
| 10 | Larre Borges | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1043 | 1047 | 19 |
| 11 | Marne | 13 | 3 | 10 | 943 | 1068 | 16 |
| 12 | Olivol Mundial | 13 | 3 | 10 | 868 | 982 | 16 |
| 13 | Albatros | 13 | 2 | 11 | 1008 | 1168 | 15 |
| 14 | Colon | 13 | 1 | 12 | 901 | 1118 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Verdirrojo | Tabare |
|---|---|---|
| Albatros | 94-71 W | 97-79 W |
| Olivol Mundial | 76-66 W | 74-58 W |
| Olimpia | 59-69 L | 69-66 W |
| Stockolmo | 63-82 L | 80-70 W |
| Urupan de Pando | 90-64 W | 97-100 L |
| Marne | 77-70 W | 72-67 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Verdirrojo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
94-71 | W |
| 25/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-66 | W |
| 22/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-73 | W |
| 18/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
59-69 | L |
| 15/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-65 | W |
| 10/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-84 | L |
| 07/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-65 | W |
| 04/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
63-82 | L |
| 01/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-64 | W |
| 25/06 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-70 | W |
Tabare
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-100 | L |
| 25/07 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
86-91 | L |
| 22/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
64-76 | L |
| 18/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-58 | W |
| 15/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-66 | W |
| 10/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-80 | W |
| 07/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-70 | W |
| 04/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-67 | W |
| 30/06 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
98-53 | W |
| 24/06 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Verdirrojo vs Tabare?
Our model gives 58% to Verdirrojo.
How many points are expected in Verdirrojo vs Tabare?
The model estimates 152.5 total points (Verdirrojo 77.7 · Tabare 74.8).
Over or under 154.5 points?
Recent history points to under 154.5 points (70%).