Basketball · Belgium Top Division 1 · 09/10, 20:45

Prediction: Falco Gent vs Basket Team Waregem

Team pages: Falco Gent · Basket Team Waregem

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.7Total

Falco Gent81.6

Basket Team Waregem80.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Falco Gent Basket Team Waregem

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 162.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Falco Gent 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Basket Team Waregem 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Falco Gent 4–2 Basket Team Waregem (6 last)

Falco Gent81-71Basket Team Waregem
Basket Team Waregem56-75Falco Gent
Basket Team Waregem79-78Falco Gent
Falco Gent66-75Basket Team Waregem
Falco Gent59-58Basket Team Waregem
Basket Team Waregem77-82Falco Gent

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Falco Gent 1417 · Basket Team Waregem 1458

	Falco Gent	Basket Team Waregem
Our model	57%	43%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 161.7 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.7Falco Gent 81.6 · Basket Team Waregem 80.1

Over / Under 162.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~171.2 pts · strength 9

Match keys

H2H favours Falco Gent: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Falco Gent	Basket Team Waregem
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.7 / 83.3	84 / 86.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.2 / 84.4	89.6 / 88.6
Est. result	82	80

Est. total161.7

Line O/U162.5

Diff.0.8

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.74

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 2.3 · Est. total: 164.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	2
13:50 +4’	1.74	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:47 +20’	1.70	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Falco Gent 4–0–2 Basket Team Waregem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Belgium Top Division 1	Falco Gent	81-71	Basket Team Waregem
11/10/25 Belgium Top Division 1	Basket Team Waregem	56-75	Falco Gent
21/12/24 Belgium Top Division 1	Basket Team Waregem	79-78	Falco Gent
13/09/24 Belgium Top Division 1	Falco Gent	66-75	Basket Team Waregem
08/12/23 Belgium Top Division 1	Falco Gent	59-58	Basket Team Waregem
11/11/23 Belgium Top Division 1	Basket Team Waregem	77-82	Falco Gent

Standings · Belgium Top Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Remant Basics Melsele-Beveren	4	4	0	370	304	8
2	LDP Donza	4	4	0	357	307	8
3	Basket Willebroek	4	3	1	372	340	7
4	Basket SKT Ieper	4	3	1	314	301	7
5	BBC Croonen Lommel	4	2	2	303	301	6
6	Port of Antwerp Giants B	4	2	2	335	380	6
7	Bavi Vilvoorde	4	1	3	255	300	5
8	Avanti Brugge Knights	4	1	3	276	346	5
9	Basket Team Waregem	3	2	1	293	254	5
10	Falco Gent	4	1	3	341	327	5
11	BC Guco Lier	2	2	0	232	151	4
12	United Woluwe	3	1	2	264	274	4
13	Kontich Wolves	4	0	4	321	381	4
14	BCCA Neufchateau	4	0	4	289	356	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Falco Gent	Basket Team Waregem
Port of Antwerp Giants B	80-84 L	83-85 L
United Woluwe	75-82 L	100-88 W
CB Liege	75-95 L	70-101 L
Basket Willebroek	63-66 L	110-81 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Basket Team Waregem (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Falco Gent

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Port of Antwerp Giants B Belgium Top Division 1	80-84	L
19/09	BBC Croonen Lommel Belgium Top Division 1	78-79	L
11/09	United Woluwe Belgium Top Division 1	75-82	L
04/09	Kontich Wolves Belgium Top Division 1	108-82	W
26/04	CB Liege Belgium Top Division 1	75-95	L
24/04	CB Liege Belgium Top Division 1	70-100	L
17/04	Port of Antwerp Giants B Belgium Top Division 1	71-85	L
11/04	Spirou Charleroi B Belgium Top Division 1	77-84	L
06/04	Basket Willebroek Belgium Top Division 1	63-66	L
28/03	LDP Donza Belgium Top Division 1	60-76	L

Basket Team Waregem

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Basket Willebroek Belgium Top Division 1	110-81	W
18/09	United Woluwe Belgium Top Division 1	100-88	W
05/09	Port of Antwerp Giants B Belgium Top Division 1	83-85	L
28/04	BC Guco Lier Belgium Top Division 1	78-98	L
26/04	BC Guco Lier Belgium Top Division 1	77-91	L
24/04	BC Guco Lier Belgium Top Division 1	80-74	W
18/04	Gembo Borgerhout Belgium Top Division 1	81-69	W
12/04	BCCA Neufchateau Belgium Top Division 1	86-92	L
04/04	BC Guco Lier Belgium Top Division 1	75-87	L
28/03	CB Liege Belgium Top Division 1	70-101	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Falco Gent vs Basket Team Waregem?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Falco Gent 54% · Basket Team Waregem 46%).

How many points are expected in Falco Gent vs Basket Team Waregem?

The model estimates 161.7 total points (Falco Gent 81.6 · Basket Team Waregem 80.1).

Over or under 162.5 points?

Recent history points to over 162.5 points (70%).