Basketball · Uganda NBL Women · 15/07, 18:00
Prediction: UPDF Tomahawks (W) vs KCCA Leopards (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
133Total
UPDF Tomahawks (W)63.6
KCCA Leopards (W)69.4
1X2
UPDF Tomahawks (W)
KCCA Leopards (W)
Recent form · 10 last
UPDF Tomahawks (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
KCCA Leopards (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UPDF Tomahawks (W)
1–5
KCCA Leopards (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UPDF Tomahawks (W) 1507 · KCCA Leopards (W) 1556
| UPDF Tomahawks (W) | KCCA Leopards (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
Estimated total (ours)
133 points · Bet365 line 105.5 · +27.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points133UPDF Tomahawks (W) 63.6 · KCCA Leopards (W) 69.4
Match keys
- KCCA Leopards (W) is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours KCCA Leopards (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UPDF Tomahawks (W) | KCCA Leopards (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 51.9 / 54 | 61.8 / 51.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 53 / 51.8 | 54.8 / 55.2 |
| Est. result | 64 | 69 |
Est. total133
Line O/U105.5
Diff.27.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UPDF Tomahawks (W) 1–0–5 KCCA Leopards (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Uganda NBL Women | KCCA Leopards (W) | 60-43 | UPDF Tomahawks (W) |
| 03/06/26 Uganda NBL Women | UPDF Tomahawks (W) | 48-44 | KCCA Leopards (W) |
| 14/03/26 Uganda NBL Women | KCCA Leopards (W) | 66-44 | UPDF Tomahawks (W) |
| 02/07/25 Uganda NBL Women | UPDF Tomahawks (W) | 61-73 | KCCA Leopards (W) |
| 04/05/25 Uganda NBL Women | KCCA Leopards (W) | 78-52 | UPDF Tomahawks (W) |
| 28/02/24 Uganda NBL Women | UPDF Tomahawks (W) | 50-100 | KCCA Leopards (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UPDF Tomahawks (W) | KCCA Leopards (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Victoria Crocs (W) | 49-53 L | 70-59 W |
| KIU Rangers (W) | 54-50 W | 74-38 W |
| Angels Basketball (W) | 61-49 W | 98-37 W |
| JT Lady Jaguars (W) | 37-52 L | 46-61 L |
| JKL Dolphins (W) | 62-45 W | 63-61 W |
| Pearls Queens (W) | 47-73 L | 54-46 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: KCCA Leopards (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UPDF Tomahawks (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | KCCA Leopards (W) Uganda NBL Women |
43-60 | L |
| 14/06 | Victoria Crocs (W) Uganda NBL Women |
49-53 | L |
| 07/06 | Miracle Eaglets (W) Uganda NBL Women |
71-52 | W |
| 03/06 | KCCA Leopards (W) Uganda NBL Women |
48-44 | W |
| 31/05 | KIU Rangers (W) Uganda NBL Women |
54-50 | W |
| 30/05 | Angels Basketball (W) Uganda NBL Women |
61-49 | W |
| 23/05 | Magic Stormers (W) Uganda NBL Women |
47-62 | L |
| 16/05 | JT Lady Jaguars (W) Uganda NBL Women |
37-52 | L |
| 09/05 | JKL Dolphins (W) Uganda NBL Women |
62-45 | W |
| 01/05 | Pearls Queens (W) Uganda NBL Women |
47-73 | L |
KCCA Leopards (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | UPDF Tomahawks (W) Uganda NBL Women |
60-43 | W |
| 14/06 | UCU Lady Canons (W) Uganda NBL Women |
37-65 | L |
| 10/06 | Victoria Crocs (W) Uganda NBL Women |
70-59 | W |
| 03/06 | UPDF Tomahawks (W) Uganda NBL Women |
44-48 | L |
| 24/05 | JKL Dolphins (W) Uganda NBL Women |
63-61 | W |
| 23/05 | Pearls Queens (W) Uganda NBL Women |
54-46 | W |
| 17/05 | Angels Basketball (W) Uganda NBL Women |
98-37 | W |
| 16/05 | Nabisunsa (W) Uganda NBL Women |
72-58 | W |
| 08/05 | JT Lady Jaguars (W) Uganda NBL Women |
46-61 | L |
| 29/04 | KIU Rangers (W) Uganda NBL Women |
74-38 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UPDF Tomahawks (W) vs KCCA Leopards (W)?
Our model gives 66% to KCCA Leopards (W).
How many points are expected in UPDF Tomahawks (W) vs KCCA Leopards (W)?
The model estimates 133 total points (UPDF Tomahawks (W) 63.6 · KCCA Leopards (W) 69.4).