Basketball · Uganda NBL Women · 12/07, 14:30
Prediction: JKL Dolphins (W) vs JT Lady Jaguars (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
139.8Total
JKL Dolphins (W)63
JT Lady Jaguars (W)76.9
1X2
JKL Dolphins (W)
JT Lady Jaguars (W)
Recent form · 10 last
JKL Dolphins (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
JT Lady Jaguars (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JKL Dolphins (W)
4–2
JT Lady Jaguars (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JKL Dolphins (W) 1475 · JT Lady Jaguars (W) 1583
| JKL Dolphins (W) | JT Lady Jaguars (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
Estimated total (ours)
139.8 points · Bet365 line 119.5 · +20.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points139.8JKL Dolphins (W) 63 · JT Lady Jaguars (W) 76.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JT Lady Jaguars (W) (rating 1475 vs 1583).
- JT Lady Jaguars (W) is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours JKL Dolphins (W): 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| JKL Dolphins (W) | JT Lady Jaguars (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 56.9 / 65 | 70.3 / 46.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 51 / 69.8 | 82.8 / 44.8 |
| Est. result | 63 | 77 |
Est. total139.8
Line O/U119.5
Diff.20.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · JKL Dolphins (W) 4–0–2 JT Lady Jaguars (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Uganda NBL Women | JT Lady Jaguars (W) | 59-45 | JKL Dolphins (W) |
| 22/05/26 Uganda NBL Women | JT Lady Jaguars (W) | 93-62 | JKL Dolphins (W) |
| 13/02/26 Uganda NBL Women | JKL Dolphins (W) | 78-68 | JT Lady Jaguars (W) |
| 02/11/25 Uganda NBL Women | JKL Dolphins (W) | 69-68 | JT Lady Jaguars (W) |
| 31/10/25 Uganda NBL Women | JT Lady Jaguars (W) | 61-69 | JKL Dolphins (W) |
| 28/10/25 Uganda NBL Women | JKL Dolphins (W) | 77-59 | JT Lady Jaguars (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JKL Dolphins (W) | JT Lady Jaguars (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Pearls Queens (W) | 53-91 L | 64-54 W |
| Magic Stormers (W) | 48-65 L | 46-47 L |
| KCCA Leopards (W) | 61-63 L | 61-46 W |
| UPDF Tomahawks (W) | 45-62 L | 52-37 W |
| Victoria Crocs (W) | 47-37 W | 85-45 W |
| Miracle Eaglets (W) | 79-61 W | 66-60 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: JT Lady Jaguars (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JKL Dolphins (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | JT Lady Jaguars (W) Uganda NBL Women |
45-59 | L |
| 12/06 | UCU Lady Canons (W) Uganda NBL Women |
48-71 | L |
| 06/06 | Pearls Queens (W) Uganda NBL Women |
53-91 | L |
| 31/05 | Magic Stormers (W) Uganda NBL Women |
48-65 | L |
| 24/05 | KCCA Leopards (W) Uganda NBL Women |
61-63 | L |
| 22/05 | JT Lady Jaguars (W) Uganda NBL Women |
62-93 | L |
| 10/05 | Angels Basketball (W) Uganda NBL Women |
81-48 | W |
| 09/05 | UPDF Tomahawks (W) Uganda NBL Women |
45-62 | L |
| 03/05 | Victoria Crocs (W) Uganda NBL Women |
47-37 | W |
| 29/04 | Miracle Eaglets (W) Uganda NBL Women |
79-61 | W |
JT Lady Jaguars (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | JKL Dolphins (W) Uganda NBL Women |
59-45 | W |
| 07/06 | Nabisunsa (W) Uganda NBL Women |
111-32 | W |
| 03/06 | KIU Rangers (W) Uganda NBL Women |
66-40 | W |
| 24/05 | Victoria Crocs (W) Uganda NBL Women |
85-45 | W |
| 22/05 | JKL Dolphins (W) Uganda NBL Women |
93-62 | W |
| 16/05 | UPDF Tomahawks (W) Uganda NBL Women |
52-37 | W |
| 13/05 | Pearls Queens (W) Uganda NBL Women |
64-54 | W |
| 10/05 | Miracle Eaglets (W) Uganda NBL Women |
66-60 | W |
| 08/05 | KCCA Leopards (W) Uganda NBL Women |
61-46 | W |
| 02/05 | Magic Stormers (W) Uganda NBL Women |
46-47 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JKL Dolphins (W) vs JT Lady Jaguars (W)?
Our model gives 84% to JT Lady Jaguars (W).
How many points are expected in JKL Dolphins (W) vs JT Lady Jaguars (W)?
The model estimates 139.8 total points (JKL Dolphins (W) 63 · JT Lady Jaguars (W) 76.9).