Basketball · Uganda NBL Women · 24/07, 18:00

Prediction: JT Lady Jaguars (W) vs Magic Stormers (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

137.7Total

JT Lady Jaguars (W)76.1

Magic Stormers (W)61.6

1X2

85% 15%

JT Lady Jaguars (W) Magic Stormers (W)

Recent form · 10 last

JT Lady Jaguars (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Magic Stormers (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLWLW

Head-to-head

JT Lady Jaguars (W) 4–2 Magic Stormers (W) (6 last)

JT Lady Jaguars (W)46-47Magic Stormers (W)
Magic Stormers (W)36-70JT Lady Jaguars (W)
JT Lady Jaguars (W)43-59Magic Stormers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JT Lady Jaguars (W) 1640 · Magic Stormers (W) 1528

	JT Lady Jaguars (W)	Magic Stormers (W)
Our model	76%	24%
Market	88%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 137.7 points · Bet365 line 118.5 · +19.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points137.7JT Lady Jaguars (W) 76.1 · Magic Stormers (W) 61.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JT Lady Jaguars (W) (rating 1640 vs 1528).
JT Lady Jaguars (W) is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours JT Lady Jaguars (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	JT Lady Jaguars (W)	Magic Stormers (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	72.5 / 46.5	58.6 / 51.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.8 / 41.2	55.4 / 51.6
Est. result	76	62

Est. total137.7

Line O/U118.5

Diff.19.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.07

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14.5)1.83

2 (+14.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 118.51.83

Under 118.51.83

Diff.: 3.9 · Est. total: 114.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.07	Bet365 1.07
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 14.7%

Time*	1	2
13:44 +2’	1.07	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
13:44 +1’	1.03	5.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JT Lady Jaguars (W) 4–0–2 Magic Stormers (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Uganda NBL Women	JT Lady Jaguars (W)	46-47	Magic Stormers (W)
21/03/26 Uganda NBL Women	Magic Stormers (W)	36-70	JT Lady Jaguars (W)
09/10/25 Uganda NBL Women	JT Lady Jaguars (W)	43-59	Magic Stormers (W)
03/10/25 Uganda NBL Women	JT Lady Jaguars (W)	54-46	Magic Stormers (W)
01/10/25 Uganda NBL Women	Magic Stormers (W)	37-63	JT Lady Jaguars (W)
05/07/25 Uganda NBL Women	JT Lady Jaguars (W)	73-63	Magic Stormers (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JT Lady Jaguars (W)	Magic Stormers (W)
JKL Dolphins (W)	68-44 W	65-48 W
Nabisunsa (W)	111-32 W	67-62 W
KIU Rangers (W)	66-40 W	61-64 L
Victoria Crocs (W)	85-45 W	59-48 W
UPDF Tomahawks (W)	52-37 W	62-47 W
Pearls Queens (W)	64-54 W	65-54 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: JT Lady Jaguars (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JT Lady Jaguars (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/07	JKL Dolphins (W) Uganda NBL Women	68-44	W
11/07	JKL Dolphins (W) Uganda NBL Women	59-45	W
07/06	Nabisunsa (W) Uganda NBL Women	111-32	W
03/06	KIU Rangers (W) Uganda NBL Women	66-40	W
24/05	Victoria Crocs (W) Uganda NBL Women	85-45	W
22/05	JKL Dolphins (W) Uganda NBL Women	93-62	W
16/05	UPDF Tomahawks (W) Uganda NBL Women	52-37	W
13/05	Pearls Queens (W) Uganda NBL Women	64-54	W
10/05	Miracle Eaglets (W) Uganda NBL Women	66-60	W
08/05	KCCA Leopards (W) Uganda NBL Women	61-46	W

Magic Stormers (W)

WLWWWWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/07	Pearls Queens (W) Uganda NBL Women	65-54	W
12/07	Pearls Queens (W) Uganda NBL Women	41-54	L
10/07	Pearls Queens (W) Uganda NBL Women	51-38	W
07/06	KIU Rangers (W) Uganda NBL Women	61-64	L
06/06	Victoria Crocs (W) Uganda NBL Women	59-48	W
31/05	JKL Dolphins (W) Uganda NBL Women	65-48	W
23/05	UPDF Tomahawks (W) Uganda NBL Women	62-47	W
20/05	Nabisunsa (W) Uganda NBL Women	67-62	W
15/05	UCU Lady Canons (W) Uganda NBL Women	42-57	L
03/05	Angels Basketball (W) Uganda NBL Women	73-44	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JT Lady Jaguars (W) vs Magic Stormers (W)?

Our model gives 85% to JT Lady Jaguars (W).

How many points are expected in JT Lady Jaguars (W) vs Magic Stormers (W)?

The model estimates 137.7 total points (JT Lady Jaguars (W) 76.1 · Magic Stormers (W) 61.6).