Basketball · Uganda NBL Women · 11/07, 11:00
Prediction: KCCA Leopards (W) vs UPDF Tomahawks (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
133.2Total
KCCA Leopards (W)71.4
UPDF Tomahawks (W)61.8
1X2
KCCA Leopards (W)
UPDF Tomahawks (W)
Recent form · 10 last
KCCA Leopards (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
UPDF Tomahawks (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KCCA Leopards (W)
4–1
UPDF Tomahawks (W)
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KCCA Leopards (W) 1554 · UPDF Tomahawks (W) 1507
| KCCA Leopards (W) | UPDF Tomahawks (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
133.2 points · Bet365 line 106.5 · +26.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points133.2KCCA Leopards (W) 71.4 · UPDF Tomahawks (W) 61.8
Match keys
- H2H favours KCCA Leopards (W): 4-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| KCCA Leopards (W) | UPDF Tomahawks (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 63 / 52.4 | 51.5 / 53.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 53.6 / 55.8 | 56.6 / 49.6 |
| Est. result | 71 | 62 |
Est. total133.2
Line O/U106.5
Diff.26.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · KCCA Leopards (W) 4–0–1 UPDF Tomahawks (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/26 Uganda NBL Women | UPDF Tomahawks (W) | 48-44 | KCCA Leopards (W) |
| 14/03/26 Uganda NBL Women | KCCA Leopards (W) | 66-44 | UPDF Tomahawks (W) |
| 02/07/25 Uganda NBL Women | UPDF Tomahawks (W) | 61-73 | KCCA Leopards (W) |
| 04/05/25 Uganda NBL Women | KCCA Leopards (W) | 78-52 | UPDF Tomahawks (W) |
| 28/02/24 Uganda NBL Women | UPDF Tomahawks (W) | 50-100 | KCCA Leopards (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KCCA Leopards (W) | UPDF Tomahawks (W) |
|---|---|---|
| UCU Lady Canons (W) | 37-65 L | 39-54 L |
| Victoria Crocs (W) | 70-59 W | 49-53 L |
| JKL Dolphins (W) | 63-61 W | 62-45 W |
| Pearls Queens (W) | 54-46 W | 47-73 L |
| Angels Basketball (W) | 98-37 W | 61-49 W |
| JT Lady Jaguars (W) | 46-61 L | 37-52 L |
| KIU Rangers (W) | 74-38 W | 54-50 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: KCCA Leopards (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KCCA Leopards (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | UCU Lady Canons (W) Uganda NBL Women |
37-65 | L |
| 10/06 | Victoria Crocs (W) Uganda NBL Women |
70-59 | W |
| 03/06 | UPDF Tomahawks (W) Uganda NBL Women |
44-48 | L |
| 24/05 | JKL Dolphins (W) Uganda NBL Women |
63-61 | W |
| 23/05 | Pearls Queens (W) Uganda NBL Women |
54-46 | W |
| 17/05 | Angels Basketball (W) Uganda NBL Women |
98-37 | W |
| 16/05 | Nabisunsa (W) Uganda NBL Women |
72-58 | W |
| 08/05 | JT Lady Jaguars (W) Uganda NBL Women |
46-61 | L |
| 29/04 | KIU Rangers (W) Uganda NBL Women |
74-38 | W |
| 29/03 | KIU Rangers (W) Uganda NBL Women |
72-51 | W |
UPDF Tomahawks (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Victoria Crocs (W) Uganda NBL Women |
49-53 | L |
| 07/06 | Miracle Eaglets (W) Uganda NBL Women |
71-52 | W |
| 03/06 | KCCA Leopards (W) Uganda NBL Women |
48-44 | W |
| 31/05 | KIU Rangers (W) Uganda NBL Women |
54-50 | W |
| 30/05 | Angels Basketball (W) Uganda NBL Women |
61-49 | W |
| 23/05 | Magic Stormers (W) Uganda NBL Women |
47-62 | L |
| 16/05 | JT Lady Jaguars (W) Uganda NBL Women |
37-52 | L |
| 09/05 | JKL Dolphins (W) Uganda NBL Women |
62-45 | W |
| 01/05 | Pearls Queens (W) Uganda NBL Women |
47-73 | L |
| 26/04 | UCU Lady Canons (W) Uganda NBL Women |
39-54 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KCCA Leopards (W) vs UPDF Tomahawks (W)?
Our model gives 61% to KCCA Leopards (W).
How many points are expected in KCCA Leopards (W) vs UPDF Tomahawks (W)?
The model estimates 133.2 total points (KCCA Leopards (W) 71.4 · UPDF Tomahawks (W) 61.8).