Basketball · Australia NBL1 North Women · 12/07, 05:00
Prediction: Northside Wizards (W) vs Brisbane Capitals (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.5Total
Northside Wizards (W)90.5
Brisbane Capitals (W)74
1X2
Northside Wizards (W)
Brisbane Capitals (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Northside Wizards (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Brisbane Capitals (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Northside Wizards (W)
6–0
Brisbane Capitals (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Northside Wizards (W) 1540 · Brisbane Capitals (W) 1402
| Northside Wizards (W) | Brisbane Capitals (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.5 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.5Northside Wizards (W) 90.5 · Brisbane Capitals (W) 74
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Northside Wizards (W) (rating 1540 vs 1402).
- Northside Wizards (W) is a clear favourite (88% market).
- H2H favours Northside Wizards (W): 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Northside Wizards (W) | Brisbane Capitals (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.8 / 80 | 73.4 / 85.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 92.6 / 79.8 | 76 / 91 |
| Est. result | 91 | 74 |
Est. total164.5
Line O/U167.5
Diff.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Northside Wizards (W) 6–0–0 Brisbane Capitals (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Australia NBL1 North Women | Brisbane Capitals (W) | 78-87 | Northside Wizards (W) |
| 26/07/25 Australia NBL1 North Women | Brisbane Capitals (W) | 92-100 | Northside Wizards (W) |
| 03/05/25 Australia NBL1 North Women | Northside Wizards (W) | 94-83 | Brisbane Capitals (W) |
| 12/07/24 Australia NBL1 North Women | Brisbane Capitals (W) | 75-97 | Northside Wizards (W) |
| 12/04/24 Australia NBL1 North Women | Northside Wizards (W) | 93-55 | Brisbane Capitals (W) |
| 14/07/23 Australia NBL1 North Women | Northside Wizards (W) | 101-72 | Brisbane Capitals (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Logan Thunder (W) | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1221 | 1022 | 0 |
| 2 | Cairns Dolphins (W) | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1359 | 1154 | 0 |
| 3 | Southern District Spartans (W) | 15 | 10 | 5 | 1257 | 1133 | 0 |
| 4 | Townsville Heat (W) | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1175 | 1097 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1175 | 1027 | 0 |
| 6 | Northside Wizards (W) | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1091 | 1040 | 0 |
| 7 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1035 | 998 | 0 |
| 8 | North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1066 | 1106 | 0 |
| 9 | Rockhampton Cyclones (W) | 13 | 4 | 9 | 994 | 1104 | 0 |
| 10 | Gold Coast Rollers (W) | 14 | 4 | 10 | 976 | 1097 | 0 |
| 11 | Brisbane Capitals (W) | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1038 | 1222 | 0 |
| 12 | Ipswich Force (W) | 14 | 3 | 11 | 987 | 1176 | 0 |
| 13 | South West Metro Pirates (W) | 15 | 3 | 12 | 996 | 1194 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Northside Wizards (W) | Brisbane Capitals (W) |
|---|---|---|
| South West Metro Pirates (W) | 83-67 W | 82-63 W |
| Gold Coast Rollers (W) | 113-84 W | 69-95 L |
| Ipswich Force (W) | 107-76 W | 62-82 L |
| Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) | 80-79 W | 68-81 L |
| Rockhampton Cyclones (W) | 74-66 W | 68-58 W |
| Mackay Meteorettes (W) | 85-95 L | 64-111 L |
| Townsville Heat (W) | 84-89 L | 71-93 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Northside Wizards (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Northside Wizards (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
80-93 | L |
| 27/06 | South West Metro Pirates (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
83-67 | W |
| 21/06 | Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
113-84 | W |
| 14/06 | Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
107-76 | W |
| 06/06 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
80-79 | W |
| 30/05 | Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
74-66 | W |
| 29/05 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
85-95 | L |
| 23/05 | Southern District Spartans (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
65-73 | L |
| 22/05 | Brisbane Capitals (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
87-78 | W |
| 16/05 | Townsville Heat (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
84-89 | L |
Brisbane Capitals (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
68-81 | L |
| 27/06 | Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
69-95 | L |
| 20/06 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
90-96 | L |
| 13/06 | Cairns Dolphins (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
82-90 | L |
| 06/06 | Townsville Heat (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
71-93 | L |
| 30/05 | South West Metro Pirates (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
82-63 | W |
| 22/05 | Northside Wizards (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
78-87 | L |
| 16/05 | Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
62-82 | L |
| 10/05 | Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
68-58 | W |
| 09/05 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
64-111 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Northside Wizards (W) vs Brisbane Capitals (W)?
Our model gives 88% to Northside Wizards (W).
How many points are expected in Northside Wizards (W) vs Brisbane Capitals (W)?
The model estimates 164.5 total points (Northside Wizards (W) 90.5 · Brisbane Capitals (W) 74).