Basketball · Australia NBL1 North Women · 19/07, 05:00

Prediction: Northside Wizards (W) vs North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.5Total

Northside Wizards (W)88.7

North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)78.8

1X2

76% 24%

Northside Wizards (W) North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Northside Wizards (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Northside Wizards (W) 4–0 North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) (4 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Northside Wizards (W) 1553 · North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) 1524

	Northside Wizards (W)	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)
Our model	66%	34%
Market	79%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 167.5 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.5Northside Wizards (W) 88.7 · North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) 78.8

Match keys

Northside Wizards (W) is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Northside Wizards (W): 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Northside Wizards (W)	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.7 / 76.5	85.8 / 84.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89.2 / 75.2	86.6 / 82.4
Est. result	89	79

Est. total167.5

Line O/U166.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.18

24.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.87

2 (+6.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 0.45 · Est. total: 166.05

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
2	4.40 → 4.40	Bet365 4.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	2
16:33 +12’	1.18	4.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Northside Wizards (W) 4–0–0 North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/24 Australia NBL1 North Women	Northside Wizards (W)	86-65	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)
15/06/24 Australia NBL1 North Women	Northside Wizards (W)	89-74	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)
02/04/23 Australia NBL1 North Women	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)	65-92	Northside Wizards (W)
21/05/22 Australia NBL1 North Women	Northside Wizards (W)	82-79	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)

Standings · Australia NBL1 North Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Logan Thunder (W)	15	13	2	1305	1113
2	Cairns Dolphins (W)	16	13	3	1441	1222
3	Southern District Spartans (W)	16	11	5	1340	1208
4	Mackay Meteorettes (W)	15	10	5	1351	1150
5	Townsville Heat (W)	15	10	5	1266	1181
6	Northside Wizards (W)	14	9	5	1179	1100
7	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)	15	7	8	1193	1195
8	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)	15	7	8	1224	1260
9	Gold Coast Rollers (W)	15	5	10	1057	1165
10	Rockhampton Cyclones (W)	15	5	10	1171	1285
11	Ipswich Force (W)	15	3	12	1060	1266
12	Brisbane Capitals (W)	16	3	13	1173	1393
13	South West Metro Pirates (W)	16	3	13	1060	1282

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Northside Wizards (W)	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)
Logan Thunder (W)	80-93 L	84-91 L
South West Metro Pirates (W)	83-67 W	92-72 W
Gold Coast Rollers (W)	113-84 W	68-81 L
Ipswich Force (W)	107-76 W	90-73 W
Rockhampton Cyclones (W)	74-66 W	95-78 W
Mackay Meteorettes (W)	85-95 L	81-108 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Northside Wizards (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	82-72	W
12/07	Brisbane Capitals (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	88-60	W
04/07	Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	80-93	L
27/06	South West Metro Pirates (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	83-67	W
21/06	Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	113-84	W
14/06	Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	107-76	W
06/06	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	80-79	W
30/05	Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	74-66	W
29/05	Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	85-95	L
23/05	Southern District Spartans (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	65-73	L

North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/07	Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	90-73	W
11/07	Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	68-81	L
04/07	Cairns Dolphins (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	99-95	W
28/06	Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	84-91	L
21/06	South West Metro Pirates (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	92-72	W
13/06	Townsville Heat (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	83-75	W
12/06	Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	81-108	L
06/06	Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	100-83	W
29/05	Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	66-85	L
24/05	Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	95-78	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Northside Wizards (W) vs North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)?

Our model gives 76% to Northside Wizards (W).

How many points are expected in Northside Wizards (W) vs North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)?

The model estimates 167.5 total points (Northside Wizards (W) 88.7 · North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) 78.8).