Basketball · Australia NBL1 North Women · 18/07, 10:00

Prediction: Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) vs Northside Wizards (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

163.5Total

Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)80

Northside Wizards (W)83.5

1X2

40% 60%

Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Northside Wizards (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWLWLL

Northside Wizards (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) 2–4 Northside Wizards (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) 1489 · Northside Wizards (W) 1568

	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)	Northside Wizards (W)
Our model	52%	48%
Market	38%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 163.5 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points163.5Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) 80 · Northside Wizards (W) 83.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Northside Wizards (W) (rating 1489 vs 1568).
H2H favours Northside Wizards (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)	Northside Wizards (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.2 / 82.8	86.2 / 77.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.8 / 90.2	94.2 / 76
Est. result	80	84

Est. total163.5

Line O/U162.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.50

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.83

2 (-4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 164.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	2
17:30 +16’	2.50	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) 2–0–4 Northside Wizards (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Australia NBL1 North Women	Northside Wizards (W)	80-79	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)
17/04/26 Australia NBL1 North Women	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)	65-74	Northside Wizards (W)
14/06/25 Australia NBL1 North Women	Northside Wizards (W)	56-73	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)
24/05/25 Australia NBL1 North Women	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)	91-89	Northside Wizards (W)
06/07/24 Australia NBL1 North Women	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)	46-95	Northside Wizards (W)
27/04/24 Australia NBL1 North Women	Northside Wizards (W)	120-47	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)

Standings · Australia NBL1 North Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Logan Thunder (W)	15	13	2	1305	1113
2	Cairns Dolphins (W)	15	12	3	1359	1154
3	Southern District Spartans (W)	15	10	5	1257	1133
4	Townsville Heat (W)	15	10	5	1266	1181
5	Mackay Meteorettes (W)	14	9	5	1263	1086
6	Northside Wizards (W)	14	9	5	1179	1100
7	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)	15	7	8	1193	1195
8	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)	15	7	8	1224	1260
9	Rockhampton Cyclones (W)	14	5	9	1103	1203
10	Gold Coast Rollers (W)	15	5	10	1057	1165
11	South West Metro Pirates (W)	15	3	12	996	1194
12	Ipswich Force (W)	15	3	12	1060	1266
13	Brisbane Capitals (W)	15	3	12	1098	1310

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)	Northside Wizards (W)
Mackay Meteorettes (W)	59-88 L	85-95 L
Rockhampton Cyclones (W)	99-109 L	74-66 W
Brisbane Capitals (W)	81-68 W	88-60 W
Southern District Spartans (W)	74-96 L	65-73 L
South West Metro Pirates (W)	90-66 W	83-67 W
Logan Thunder (W)	81-92 L	80-93 L
Ipswich Force (W)	78-74 W	107-76 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Northside Wizards (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/07	Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	59-88	L
11/07	Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	99-109	L
03/07	Brisbane Capitals (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	81-68	W
27/06	Southern District Spartans (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	74-96	L
20/06	Brisbane Capitals (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	96-90	W
13/06	South West Metro Pirates (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	90-66	W
06/06	Northside Wizards (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	79-80	L
31/05	Southern District Spartans (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	85-65	W
30/05	Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	81-92	L
24/05	Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	78-74	W

Northside Wizards (W)

WLLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/07	Brisbane Capitals (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	88-60	W
04/07	Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	80-93	L
27/06	South West Metro Pirates (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	83-67	W
21/06	Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	113-84	W
14/06	Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	107-76	W
06/06	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	80-79	W
30/05	Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	74-66	W
29/05	Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	85-95	L
23/05	Southern District Spartans (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	65-73	L
22/05	Brisbane Capitals (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	87-78	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) vs Northside Wizards (W)?

Our model gives 60% to Northside Wizards (W).

How many points are expected in Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) vs Northside Wizards (W)?

The model estimates 163.5 total points (Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) 80 · Northside Wizards (W) 83.5).