Basketball · Finland Korisliigan · 08/11, 17:00

Prediction: KTP Basket Kotka vs Lahti Basketball

Team pages: KTP Basket Kotka · Lahti Basketball

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.9Total

KTP Basket Kotka91.9

Lahti Basketball82

1X2

76% 24%

KTP Basket Kotka Lahti Basketball

Recent form · 10 last

KTP Basket Kotka 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Lahti Basketball 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KTP Basket Kotka 3–3 Lahti Basketball (6 last)

KTP Basket Kotka101-82Lahti Basketball
Lahti Basketball82-89KTP Basket Kotka
Lahti Basketball115-102KTP Basket Kotka
KTP Basket Kotka87-107Lahti Basketball
Lahti Basketball92-88KTP Basket Kotka
KTP Basket Kotka104-103Lahti Basketball

Model analysis

Estimated points173.9KTP Basket Kotka 91.9 · Lahti Basketball 82

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTP Basket Kotka (rating 1562 vs 1451).
KTP Basket Kotka is a clear favourite (76% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	KTP Basket Kotka	Lahti Basketball
Points F\|A (Last 10)	92.9 / 84.9	82.6 / 87.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	99.6 / 95.2	79.8 / 87
Est. result	92	82

Est. total173.9

Line O/U176

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1761.91

Under 1761.91

Diff.: 2.25 · Est. total: 173.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Pinn 1.14
2	5.24 → 5.24	Pinn 5.24

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
17:09 +63’	1.14	5.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KTP Basket Kotka 3–0–3 Lahti Basketball

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/01/26 Finland Korisliigan	KTP Basket Kotka	101-82	Lahti Basketball
05/11/25 Finland Korisliigan	Lahti Basketball	82-89	KTP Basket Kotka
27/03/24 Finland Korisliigan	Lahti Basketball	115-102	KTP Basket Kotka
01/03/24 Finland Korisliigan	KTP Basket Kotka	87-107	Lahti Basketball
31/12/23 Finland Korisliigan	Lahti Basketball	92-88	KTP Basket Kotka
27/10/23 Finland Korisliigan	KTP Basket Kotka	104-103	Lahti Basketball

Standings · Finland Korisliigan

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kipina Basket	9	8	1	882	800	16
2	Tapiolan Honka	9	7	2	918	877	14
3	KTP Basket Kotka	9	7	2	859	771	14
4	Salon Vilpas	8	5	3	696	633	10
5	Tampereen Pyrinto	9	5	4	784	783	10
6	Helsinki Seagulls	9	4	5	721	751	8
7	Lahti Basketball	9	4	5	737	779	8
8	Kataja Basket	8	3	5	690	692	6
9	Korihait	9	3	6	789	828	6
10	Kauhajoen Karhu	9	3	6	747	769	6
11	Kouvot	9	2	7	778	816	4
12	Bisons Loimaa	9	2	7	675	777	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KTP Basket Kotka	Lahti Basketball
Kipina Basket	99-104 L	78-90 L
Tapiolan Honka	105-119 L	86-100 L
Kouvot	99-75 W	91-83 W
Salon Vilpas	102-81 W	52-80 L
Kauhajoen Karhu	84-78 W	68-73 L
Bisons Loimaa	87-64 W	93-90 W
Helsinki Seagulls	70-78 L	70-76 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: KTP Basket Kotka (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTP Basket Kotka

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Kipina Basket Finland Korisliigan	99-104	L
30/10	Tapiolan Honka Finland Korisliigan	105-119	L
23/10	Kouvot Finland Korisliigan	99-75	W
21/10	Kouvot Finland Korisliigan	95-89	W
17/10	Korihait Finland Korisliigan	100-89	W
14/10	Salon Vilpas Finland Korisliigan	102-81	W
09/10	Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan	88-72	W
03/10	Kauhajoen Karhu Finland Korisliigan	84-78	W
29/09	Bisons Loimaa Finland Korisliigan	87-64	W
09/04	Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan	70-78	L

Lahti Basketball

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Bisons Loimaa Finland Korisliigan	93-90	W
30/10	Salon Vilpas Finland Korisliigan	52-80	L
27/10	Kipina Basket Finland Korisliigan	78-90	L
23/10	Kauhajoen Karhu Finland Korisliigan	68-73	L
21/10	Kauhajoen Karhu Finland Korisliigan	108-102	W
16/10	Tapiolan Honka Finland Korisliigan	86-100	L
14/10	Kouvot Finland Korisliigan	91-83	W
07/10	Kataja Basket Finland Korisliigan	91-85	W
02/10	Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan	70-76	L
18/03	Bisons Loimaa Finland Korisliigan	89-92	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KTP Basket Kotka vs Lahti Basketball?

Our model gives 76% to KTP Basket Kotka.

How many points are expected in KTP Basket Kotka vs Lahti Basketball?

The model estimates 173.9 total points (KTP Basket Kotka 91.9 · Lahti Basketball 82).