Basketball · Finland Korisliigan · 14/11, 15:00

Prediction: Kouvot vs Salon Vilpas

Team pages: Kouvot · Salon Vilpas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171.8Total

Kouvot85

Salon Vilpas86.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

45% 55%

Kouvot Salon Vilpas

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 175.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Kouvot 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLWLL

Salon Vilpas 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWLWL

Head-to-head

Kouvot 4–2 Salon Vilpas (6 last)

Salon Vilpas105-82Kouvot
Kouvot110-88Salon Vilpas
Salon Vilpas79-85Kouvot
Kouvot79-66Salon Vilpas
Salon Vilpas112-110Kouvot
Kouvot95-82Salon Vilpas

Model analysis

Estimated points171.8Kouvot 85 · Salon Vilpas 86.8

Over / Under 175.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~169.9 pts · strength 6

Match keys

H2H favours Kouvot: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kouvot	Salon Vilpas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.8 / 91.4	88.2 / 78.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87 / 96.4	81 / 71.8
Est. result	85	87

Est. total171.8

Line O/U175.5

Diff.3.7

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 175.51.93

Under 175.51.89

Diff.: 3.35 · Est. total: 172.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.75
2	1.26 → 1.26	Pinn 1.26

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	2
15:47 +2’	3.75	1.26

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kouvot 4–0–2 Salon Vilpas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/01/26 Finland Korisliigan	Salon Vilpas	105-82	Kouvot
31/10/25 Finland Korisliigan	Kouvot	110-88	Salon Vilpas
30/12/24 Finland Korisliigan	Salon Vilpas	79-85	Kouvot
22/10/24 Finland Korisliigan	Kouvot	79-66	Salon Vilpas
06/01/24 Finland Korisliigan	Salon Vilpas	112-110	Kouvot
03/11/23 Finland Korisliigan	Kouvot	95-82	Salon Vilpas

Standings · Finland Korisliigan

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kipina Basket	10	9	1	969	886	18
2	KTP Basket Kotka	10	8	2	959	852	16
3	Tapiolan Honka	10	7	3	996	996	14
4	Tampereen Pyrinto	10	6	4	873	867	12
5	Salon Vilpas	9	5	4	782	720	10
6	Helsinki Seagulls	10	5	5	819	831	10
7	Lahti Basketball	10	4	6	818	879	8
8	Kataja Basket	9	4	5	777	770	8
9	Kauhajoen Karhu	10	4	6	866	847	8
10	Korihait	10	3	7	867	915	6
11	Kouvot	10	2	8	858	914	4
12	Bisons Loimaa	10	2	8	759	866	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kouvot	Salon Vilpas
Helsinki Seagulls	80-98 L	79-86 L
Tampereen Pyrinto	86-90 L	97-79 W
Korihait	105-100 W	95-73 W
KTP Basket Kotka	75-99 L	81-102 L
Kataja Basket	95-76 W	100-69 W
Lahti Basketball	83-91 L	80-52 W
Kipina Basket	80-89 L	86-87 L
Tapiolan Honka	91-99 L	104-107 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Salon Vilpas (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kouvot

LLLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan	80-98	L
03/11	Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan	86-90	L
30/10	Korihait Finland Korisliigan	105-100	W
23/10	KTP Basket Kotka Finland Korisliigan	75-99	L
21/10	KTP Basket Kotka Finland Korisliigan	89-95	L
16/10	Kataja Basket Finland Korisliigan	95-76	W
14/10	Lahti Basketball Finland Korisliigan	83-91	L
06/10	Kipina Basket Finland Korisliigan	80-89	L
03/10	Tapiolan Honka Finland Korisliigan	91-99	L
30/09	Kauhajoen Karhu Finland Korisliigan	74-77	L

Salon Vilpas

WLWWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Kipina Basket Finland Korisliigan	86-87	L
30/10	Lahti Basketball Finland Korisliigan	80-52	W
27/10	Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan	79-86	L
24/10	Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan	79-64	W
17/10	Bisons Loimaa Finland Korisliigan	81-70	W
14/10	KTP Basket Kotka Finland Korisliigan	81-102	L
10/10	Korihait Finland Korisliigan	95-73	W
03/10	Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan	97-79	W
29/09	Tapiolan Honka Finland Korisliigan	104-107	L
19/05	Kataja Basket Finland Korisliigan	100-69	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kouvot vs Salon Vilpas?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Kouvot 45% · Salon Vilpas 55%).

How many points are expected in Kouvot vs Salon Vilpas?

The model estimates 171.8 total points (Kouvot 85 · Salon Vilpas 86.8).

Over or under 175.5 points?

Recent history points to under 175.5 points (65%).