Basketball · Finland Korisliigan · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Kataja Basket vs KTP Basket Kotka

Team pages: Kataja Basket · KTP Basket Kotka

Prediction summary

Estimated points

176.6Total

Kataja Basket87.6

KTP Basket Kotka89

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

Kataja Basket KTP Basket Kotka

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Kataja Basket 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLWW

KTP Basket Kotka 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Kataja Basket 3–3 KTP Basket Kotka (6 last)

Kataja Basket83-94KTP Basket Kotka
KTP Basket Kotka74-77Kataja Basket
KTP Basket Kotka94-72Kataja Basket
Kataja Basket107-94KTP Basket Kotka
Kataja Basket76-77KTP Basket Kotka
KTP Basket Kotka67-68Kataja Basket

Model analysis

Estimated points176.6Kataja Basket 87.6 · KTP Basket Kotka 89

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kataja Basket	KTP Basket Kotka
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.6 / 87	95.9 / 85.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81 / 83.4	99.6 / 93.6
Est. result	88	89

Est. total176.6

Line O/U175.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 175.51.93

Under 175.51.88

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 176.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.27 → 2.27	Pinn 2.27
2	1.64 → 1.64	Pinn 1.64

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	2
16:45 +4’	2.27	1.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kataja Basket 3–0–3 KTP Basket Kotka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Finland Korisliigan	Kataja Basket	83-94	KTP Basket Kotka
03/10/25 Finland Korisliigan	KTP Basket Kotka	74-77	Kataja Basket
28/12/24 Finland Korisliigan	KTP Basket Kotka	94-72	Kataja Basket
26/10/24 Finland Korisliigan	Kataja Basket	107-94	KTP Basket Kotka
09/12/23 Finland Korisliigan	Kataja Basket	76-77	KTP Basket Kotka
08/10/23 Finland Korisliigan	KTP Basket Kotka	67-68	Kataja Basket

Standings · Finland Korisliigan

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kipina Basket	10	9	1	969	886	18
2	KTP Basket Kotka	10	8	2	959	852	16
3	Tapiolan Honka	10	7	3	996	996	14
4	Tampereen Pyrinto	10	6	4	873	867	12
5	Salon Vilpas	9	5	4	782	720	10
6	Helsinki Seagulls	10	5	5	819	831	10
7	Lahti Basketball	10	4	6	818	879	8
8	Kataja Basket	9	4	5	777	770	8
9	Kauhajoen Karhu	10	4	6	866	847	8
10	Korihait	10	3	7	867	915	6
11	Kouvot	10	2	8	858	914	4
12	Bisons Loimaa	10	2	8	759	866	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kataja Basket	KTP Basket Kotka
Korihait	87-78 W	100-89 W
Kauhajoen Karhu	101-80 W	84-78 W
Tampereen Pyrinto	79-84 L	88-72 W
Kouvot	76-95 L	99-75 W
Tapiolan Honka	99-108 L	105-119 L
Lahti Basketball	85-91 L	100-81 W
Bisons Loimaa	86-71 W	87-64 W
Salon Vilpas	69-100 L	102-81 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KTP Basket Kotka (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kataja Basket

LWWLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Korihait Finland Korisliigan	87-78	W
31/10	Kauhajoen Karhu Finland Korisliigan	101-80	W
24/10	Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan	79-84	L
21/10	Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan	62-80	L
16/10	Kouvot Finland Korisliigan	76-95	L
10/10	Tapiolan Honka Finland Korisliigan	99-108	L
07/10	Lahti Basketball Finland Korisliigan	85-91	L
03/10	Bisons Loimaa Finland Korisliigan	86-71	W
29/09	Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan	102-83	W
19/05	Salon Vilpas Finland Korisliigan	69-100	L

KTP Basket Kotka

WWWWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Lahti Basketball Finland Korisliigan	100-81	W
04/11	Kipina Basket Finland Korisliigan	99-104	L
30/10	Tapiolan Honka Finland Korisliigan	105-119	L
23/10	Kouvot Finland Korisliigan	99-75	W
21/10	Kouvot Finland Korisliigan	95-89	W
17/10	Korihait Finland Korisliigan	100-89	W
14/10	Salon Vilpas Finland Korisliigan	102-81	W
09/10	Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan	88-72	W
03/10	Kauhajoen Karhu Finland Korisliigan	84-78	W
29/09	Bisons Loimaa Finland Korisliigan	87-64	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kataja Basket vs KTP Basket Kotka?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Kataja Basket 46% · KTP Basket Kotka 54%).

How many points are expected in Kataja Basket vs KTP Basket Kotka?

The model estimates 176.6 total points (Kataja Basket 87.6 · KTP Basket Kotka 89).