Basketball · Czechia NBL · 23/09, 18:00

Prediction: BK Decin vs USK Praha

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.5Total

BK Decin85.3

USK Praha76.3

1X2

74% 26%

BK Decin USK Praha

Recent form · 10 last

BK Decin 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLLLW

USK Praha 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

BK Decin 5–1 USK Praha (6 last)

BK Decin69-62USK Praha
USK Praha77-81BK Decin
USK Praha87-75BK Decin
BK Decin96-58USK Praha
BK Decin73-67USK Praha
USK Praha65-71BK Decin

Model analysis

Estimated points161.5BK Decin 85.3 · USK Praha 76.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Decin (rating 1526 vs 1431).
BK Decin is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours BK Decin: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BK Decin	USK Praha
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.6 / 83.3	78.2 / 84.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.4 / 82.6	75.6 / 88.4
Est. result	85	76

Est. total161.5

Line O/U165

Diff.3.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1651.87

Under 1651.87

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 165.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Pinn 1.13
2	4.74 → 4.74	Pinn 4.74

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.5%

Time*	1	2
18:43 +3’	1.13	4.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Decin 5–0–1 USK Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 Czechia NBL	BK Decin	69-62	USK Praha
27/09/25 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	77-81	BK Decin
05/04/25 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	87-75	BK Decin
08/03/25 Czechia NBL	BK Decin	96-58	USK Praha
16/11/24 Czechia NBL	BK Decin	73-67	USK Praha
25/09/24 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	65-71	BK Decin

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	BK Decin	1	1	0	109	79
2	GAPA Hradec Kralove	1	1	0	93	81
3	NH Ostrava	1	1	0	89	77
4	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk	1	1	0	88	80
5	BK JIP Pardubice	1	1	0	85	79
6	Sokol Pisek	1	1	0	80	78
7	Usti Nad Labem	1	0	1	78	80
8	Brno	1	0	1	79	85
9	USK Praha	1	0	1	80	88
10	BK Olomoucko	1	0	1	81	93
11	BK Opava	1	0	1	77	89
12	Lokomotiva Plzen	1	0	1	79	109

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Decin

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/09	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	109-79	W
11/05	Brno Czechia NBL	78-98	L
08/05	Brno Czechia NBL	81-86	L
05/05	Brno Czechia NBL	65-75	L
02/05	Brno Czechia NBL	84-75	W
01/05	Brno Czechia NBL	82-66	W
28/04	Brno Czechia NBL	98-89	W
27/04	Brno Czechia NBL	94-107	L
18/04	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	85-80	W
11/04	BK Opava Czechia NBL	70-78	L

USK Praha

WWWWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	80-88	L
23/04	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	92-100	L
21/04	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	65-78	L
11/04	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	76-81	L
04/04	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	65-95	L
28/03	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	69-97	L
25/03	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	85-83	W
21/03	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	90-87	W
14/03	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	81-60	W
05/03	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	79-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Decin vs USK Praha?

Our model gives 74% to BK Decin.

How many points are expected in BK Decin vs USK Praha?

The model estimates 161.5 total points (BK Decin 85.3 · USK Praha 76.3).