Basketball · Czechia NBL · 03/10, 17:30

Prediction: USK Praha vs Sokol Pisek

Team pages: USK Praha · Sokol Pisek

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.1Total

USK Praha82

Sokol Pisek84.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

USK Praha Sokol Pisek

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

USK Praha 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLW

Sokol Pisek 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLWWWL

Head-to-head

USK Praha 1–5 Sokol Pisek (6 last)

USK Praha92-100Sokol Pisek
Sokol Pisek78-65USK Praha
USK Praha78-88Sokol Pisek
Sokol Pisek95-79USK Praha
USK Praha92-103Sokol Pisek
USK Praha80-75Sokol Pisek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USK Praha 1411 · Sokol Pisek 1532

	USK Praha	Sokol Pisek
Our model	46%	54%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 166.1 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points166.1USK Praha 82 · Sokol Pisek 84.1

Match keys

H2H favours Sokol Pisek: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	USK Praha	Sokol Pisek
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.3 / 86.6	82.8 / 82.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.6 / 86.4	86.4 / 83.4
Est. result	82	84

Est. total166.1

Line O/U168.5

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.74

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.83

Under 168.51.83

Diff.: 4.7 · Est. total: 163.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12
2	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.76 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
15:59 +7’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:48 +11’	1.88	1.85
18:20 +46’	1.82▼	1.93▲
20:12 +53’	1.94▲	1.80▼
09:50 +2’	1.69▼	2.08▲
10:17 +41’	1.70▲	2.07▼
12:24 +39’	1.59▼	2.25▲
14:00 +1’	1.94▲	1.80▼
14:53 +8’	2.11▲	1.68▼
15:07 +59’	1.99▼	1.76▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · USK Praha 1–0–5 Sokol Pisek

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/26 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	92-100	Sokol Pisek
21/04/26 Czechia NBL	Sokol Pisek	78-65	USK Praha
17/12/25 Czechia Cup	USK Praha	78-88	Sokol Pisek
14/12/25 Czechia NBL	Sokol Pisek	95-79	USK Praha
11/10/25 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	92-103	Sokol Pisek
22/03/25 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	80-75	Sokol Pisek

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	4	4	0	398	319
2	BK JIP Pardubice	4	4	0	365	293
3	Sokol Pisek	4	3	1	361	338
4	Usti Nad Labem	4	3	1	368	310
5	BK Decin	4	3	1	345	297
6	NH Ostrava	4	3	1	339	312
7	GAPA Hradec Kralove	4	1	3	340	369
8	BK Olomoucko	4	1	3	274	357
9	USK Praha	4	1	3	301	332
10	BK Opava	4	1	3	317	365
11	Brno	4	0	4	329	364
12	Lokomotiva Plzen	4	0	4	315	396

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USK Praha	Sokol Pisek
Lokomotiva Plzen	84-81 W	88-81 W
Usti Nad Labem	80-89 L	80-78 W
GAPA Hradec Kralove	69-97 L	111-87 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sokol Pisek (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USK Praha

WLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/09	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	84-81	W
26/09	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	80-89	L
23/09	BK Decin Czechia NBL	57-74	L
19/09	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	80-88	L
23/04	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	92-100	L
21/04	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	65-78	L
11/04	Slavia Praha ERA NBK Czechia NBL	76-81	L
04/04	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	65-95	L
28/03	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	69-97	L
25/03	Slavia Praha ERA NBK Czechia NBL	85-83	W

Sokol Pisek

WWLLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/09	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	82-92	L
27/09	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	88-81	W
23/09	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	111-87	W
20/09	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	80-78	W
05/05	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	71-79	L
04/05	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	63-78	L
01/05	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	74-78	L
30/04	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	81-99	L
23/04	USK Praha Czechia NBL	100-92	W
21/04	USK Praha Czechia NBL	78-65	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USK Praha vs Sokol Pisek?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (USK Praha 44% · Sokol Pisek 56%).

How many points are expected in USK Praha vs Sokol Pisek?

The model estimates 166.1 total points (USK Praha 82 · Sokol Pisek 84.1).