Basketball · Czechia NBL · 03/10, 17:30

Prediction: BK JIP Pardubice vs NH Ostrava

Team pages: BK JIP Pardubice · NH Ostrava

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.5Total

BK JIP Pardubice93.1

NH Ostrava77.3

1X2

87% 13%

BK JIP Pardubice NH Ostrava

Recent form · 10 last

BK JIP Pardubice 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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NH Ostrava 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLWWLW

Head-to-head

BK JIP Pardubice 4–2 NH Ostrava (6 last)

NH Ostrava93-101BK JIP Pardubice
BK JIP Pardubice109-72NH Ostrava
BK JIP Pardubice83-80NH Ostrava
NH Ostrava85-98BK JIP Pardubice
NH Ostrava100-87BK JIP Pardubice
BK JIP Pardubice101-104NH Ostrava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK JIP Pardubice 1580 · NH Ostrava 1484

	BK JIP Pardubice	NH Ostrava
Our model	74%	26%
Market	90%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 170.5 points · Bet365 line 170.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.5BK JIP Pardubice 93.1 · NH Ostrava 77.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK JIP Pardubice (rating 1580 vs 1484).
BK JIP Pardubice is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours BK JIP Pardubice: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BK JIP Pardubice	NH Ostrava
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.3 / 81.8	79.9 / 88.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85 / 77.4	81.8 / 85.6
Est. result	93	77

Est. total170.5

Line O/U170.5

Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-16.5)1.83

2 (+16.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 170.51.83

Under 170.51.83

Diff.: 4.35 · Est. total: 166.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Pinn 1.04 ★
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	2
14:47 +15’	1.04	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:48 +11’	1.04	7.80
19:54 +11’	1.04▼	7.90▲
00:49 +3’	1.04	7.93▲
01:21 +31’	1.04▼	7.97▲
13:07 +54’	1.04▲	7.74▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK JIP Pardubice 4–0–2 NH Ostrava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Czechia NBL	NH Ostrava	93-101	BK JIP Pardubice
14/02/26 Czechia NBL	BK JIP Pardubice	109-72	NH Ostrava
30/12/25 Czechia NBL	BK JIP Pardubice	83-80	NH Ostrava
17/12/25 Czechia Cup	NH Ostrava	85-98	BK JIP Pardubice
29/10/25 Czechia NBL	NH Ostrava	100-87	BK JIP Pardubice
05/04/25 Czechia NBL	BK JIP Pardubice	101-104	NH Ostrava

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	4	4	0	398	319
2	BK JIP Pardubice	4	4	0	365	293
3	Sokol Pisek	4	3	1	361	338
4	Usti Nad Labem	4	3	1	368	310
5	BK Decin	4	3	1	345	297
6	NH Ostrava	4	3	1	339	312
7	GAPA Hradec Kralove	4	1	3	340	369
8	BK Olomoucko	4	1	3	274	357
9	USK Praha	4	1	3	301	332
10	BK Opava	4	1	3	317	365
11	Brno	4	0	4	329	364
12	Lokomotiva Plzen	4	0	4	315	396

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK JIP Pardubice	NH Ostrava
GAPA Hradec Kralove	88-78 W	89-82 W
Brno	85-79 W	85-76 W
ERA Nymburk	74-91 L	70-116 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BK JIP Pardubice (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK JIP Pardubice

LLWWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/09	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	92-82	W
26/09	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	88-78	W
19/09	Brno Czechia NBL	85-79	W
15/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	74-91	L
13/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	86-57	W
11/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	71-92	L
08/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	101-100	W
07/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	79-78	W
03/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	74-80	L
02/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	73-81	L

NH Ostrava

WWLLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/09	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	89-82	W
27/09	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	76-77	L
23/09	Brno Czechia NBL	85-76	W
19/09	BK Opava Czechia NBL	89-77	W
05/05	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	70-116	L
04/05	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	71-93	L
01/05	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	67-101	L
30/04	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	69-113	L
24/04	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	102-71	W
22/04	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	81-77	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK JIP Pardubice vs NH Ostrava?

Our model gives 87% to BK JIP Pardubice.

How many points are expected in BK JIP Pardubice vs NH Ostrava?

The model estimates 170.5 total points (BK JIP Pardubice 93.1 · NH Ostrava 77.3).