Basketball · Czechia NBL · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: USK Praha vs BK Opava

Team pages: USK Praha · BK Opava

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.8Total

USK Praha87.2

BK Opava83.6

1X2

60% 40%

USK Praha BK Opava

Recent form · 10 last

USK Praha 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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BK Opava 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

USK Praha 2–4 BK Opava (6 last)

BK Opava89-81USK Praha
USK Praha77-107BK Opava
USK Praha85-74BK Opava
BK Opava99-70USK Praha
BK Opava95-91USK Praha
USK Praha86-78BK Opava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USK Praha 1424 · BK Opava 1449

	USK Praha	BK Opava
Our model	59%	41%
Market	60%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 170.8 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · -1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.8USK Praha 87.2 · BK Opava 83.6

Match keys

H2H favours BK Opava: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	USK Praha	BK Opava
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.3 / 87.2	85.7 / 90.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.2 / 84.2	81.8 / 89.4
Est. result	87	84

Est. total170.8

Line O/U172.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.55

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.83

2 (+3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 172.51.83

Under 172.51.83

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 170.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.69 ★
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
13:11 +13’	1.55	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:11 +7’	1.75	2.00
18:48 +29’	1.76▲	1.99▼
09:36 +28’	1.65▼	2.14▲
10:38 +35’	1.67▲	2.11▼
11:39 +36’	1.69▲	2.09▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · USK Praha 2–0–4 BK Opava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/12/25 Czechia NBL	BK Opava	89-81	USK Praha
25/10/25 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	77-107	BK Opava
19/03/25 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	85-74	BK Opava
06/02/25 Czechia NBL	BK Opava	99-70	USK Praha
21/12/24 Czechia NBL	BK Opava	95-91	USK Praha
09/10/24 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	86-78	BK Opava

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	5	5	0	499	394
2	BK JIP Pardubice	5	5	0	475	391
3	Usti Nad Labem	5	4	1	451	378
4	BK Decin	5	4	1	421	348
5	NH Ostrava	5	3	2	437	422
6	Sokol Pisek	5	3	2	450	443
7	USK Praha	5	2	3	406	421
8	BK Opava	5	2	3	409	447
9	GAPA Hradec Kralove	5	1	4	415	470
10	BK Olomoucko	5	1	4	325	433
11	Brno	5	0	5	397	447
12	Lokomotiva Plzen	5	0	5	397	488

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USK Praha	BK Opava
Lokomotiva Plzen	84-81 W	92-82 W
Usti Nad Labem	80-89 L	76-86 L
BK Decin	57-74 L	83-76 W
Slavia Praha ERA Nbk	80-88 L	81-114 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USK Praha

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	105-89	W
30/09	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	84-81	W
26/09	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	80-89	L
23/09	BK Decin Czechia NBL	57-74	L
19/09	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	80-88	L
23/04	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	92-100	L
21/04	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	65-78	L
11/04	Slavia Praha ERA NBK Czechia NBL	76-81	L
04/04	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	65-95	L
28/03	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	69-97	L

BK Opava

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	92-82	W
30/09	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	76-86	L
26/09	BK Decin Czechia NBL	83-76	W
23/09	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	81-114	L
19/09	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	77-89	L
06/06	Brno Czechia NBL	102-101	W
04/06	Brno Czechia NBL	96-65	W
01/06	Brno Czechia NBL	97-99	L
20/05	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	86-98	L
19/05	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	67-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USK Praha vs BK Opava?

Our model gives 60% to USK Praha.

How many points are expected in USK Praha vs BK Opava?

The model estimates 170.8 total points (USK Praha 87.2 · BK Opava 83.6).