Basketball · Czechia NBL · 17/10, 19:00

Prediction: BK Opava vs Sokol Pisek

Team pages: BK Opava · Sokol Pisek

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.4Total

BK Opava88.5

Sokol Pisek83.9

1X2

63% 37%

BK Opava Sokol Pisek

Recent form · 10 last

BK Opava 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Sokol Pisek 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

BK Opava 5–1 Sokol Pisek (6 last)

BK Opava86-70Sokol Pisek
Sokol Pisek87-76BK Opava
Sokol Pisek84-86BK Opava
BK Opava120-93Sokol Pisek
Sokol Pisek85-86BK Opava
BK Opava95-92Sokol Pisek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Opava 1496 · Sokol Pisek 1486

	BK Opava	Sokol Pisek
Our model	64%	36%
Market	63%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 172.4 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · -4.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points172.4BK Opava 88.5 · Sokol Pisek 83.9

Match keys

H2H favours BK Opava: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BK Opava	Sokol Pisek
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88.7 / 89.8	83.9 / 86.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.8 / 89.2	90 / 88.6
Est. result	89	84

Est. total172.4

Line O/U176.5

Diff.4.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.83

2 (+4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 176.51.83

Under 176.51.83

Diff.: 1.85 · Est. total: 174.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.73 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	2
13:21 +30’	1.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
19:14 +40’	1.54	2.36
00:35 +12’	1.50▼	2.46▲
01:39 +9’	1.49▼	2.49▲
17:02 +52’	1.45▼	2.59▲
23:34 +13’	1.40▼	2.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Opava 5–0–1 Sokol Pisek

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Czechia NBL	BK Opava	86-70	Sokol Pisek
28/01/26 Czechia NBL	Sokol Pisek	87-76	BK Opava
23/11/25 Czechia NBL	Sokol Pisek	84-86	BK Opava
04/10/25 Czechia NBL	BK Opava	120-93	Sokol Pisek
16/03/25 Czechia NBL	Sokol Pisek	85-86	BK Opava
01/02/25 Czechia NBL	BK Opava	95-92	Sokol Pisek

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	6	6	0	604	454
2	BK JIP Pardubice	7	6	1	623	557
3	Usti Nad Labem	6	5	1	553	444
4	BK Decin	6	4	2	514	447
5	NH Ostrava	5	3	2	437	422
6	Sokol Pisek	5	3	2	450	443
7	BK Opava	6	3	3	506	535
8	USK Praha	6	2	4	494	518
9	GAPA Hradec Kralove	6	2	4	514	563
10	Brno	6	1	5	480	516
11	Lokomotiva Plzen	7	1	6	547	643
12	BK Olomoucko	8	1	7	524	704

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Opava	Sokol Pisek
USK Praha	97-88 W	89-105 L
Lokomotiva Plzen	92-82 W	88-81 W
Usti Nad Labem	76-86 L	80-78 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BK Opava (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Opava

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	USK Praha Czechia NBL	97-88	W
03/10	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	92-82	W
30/09	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	76-86	L
26/09	BK Decin Czechia NBL	83-76	W
23/09	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	81-114	L
19/09	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	77-89	L
06/06	Brno Czechia NBL	102-101	W
04/06	Brno Czechia NBL	96-65	W
01/06	Brno Czechia NBL	97-99	L
20/05	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	86-98	L

Sokol Pisek

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	USK Praha Czechia NBL	89-105	L
30/09	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	82-92	L
27/09	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	88-81	W
23/09	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	111-87	W
20/09	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	80-78	W
05/05	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	71-79	L
04/05	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	63-78	L
01/05	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	74-78	L
30/04	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	81-99	L
23/04	USK Praha Czechia NBL	100-92	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Opava vs Sokol Pisek?

Our model gives 63% to BK Opava.

How many points are expected in BK Opava vs Sokol Pisek?

The model estimates 172.4 total points (BK Opava 88.5 · Sokol Pisek 83.9).