Basketball · Czechia NBL · 18/10, 18:00

Prediction: Brno vs USK Praha

Team pages: Brno · USK Praha

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169Total

Brno87

USK Praha82

1X2

64% 36%

Brno USK Praha

Recent form · 10 last

Brno 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLW

USK Praha 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Brno 5–1 USK Praha (6 last)

USK Praha95-83Brno
Brno103-71USK Praha
Brno95-66USK Praha
USK Praha70-83Brno
Brno90-74USK Praha
USK Praha67-87Brno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brno 1451 · USK Praha 1428

	Brno	USK Praha
Our model	66%	34%
Market	63%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 169 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points169Brno 87 · USK Praha 82

Match keys

H2H favours Brno: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brno	USK Praha
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.2 / 90.9	79.2 / 87.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80.2 / 86.2	82.8 / 86
Est. result	87	82

Est. total169

Line O/U168.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.48

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.83

2 (+4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.83

Under 168.51.83

Diff.: 1.75 · Est. total: 170.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.58 ★
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
18:42 +29’	1.48	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:21 +50’	1.58	2.27
20:06 +9’	1.58▲	2.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brno 5–0–1 USK Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/01/26 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	95-83	Brno
06/11/25 Czechia NBL	Brno	103-71	USK Praha
25/03/25 Czechia NBL	Brno	95-66	USK Praha
27/02/25 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	70-83	Brno
11/01/25 Czechia NBL	Brno	90-74	USK Praha
30/10/24 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	67-87	Brno

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	6	6	0	604	454
2	BK JIP Pardubice	7	6	1	623	557
3	Usti Nad Labem	6	5	1	553	444
4	BK Decin	6	4	2	514	447
5	NH Ostrava	5	3	2	437	422
6	Sokol Pisek	5	3	2	450	443
7	BK Opava	6	3	3	506	535
8	USK Praha	6	2	4	494	518
9	GAPA Hradec Kralove	6	2	4	514	563
10	Brno	6	1	5	480	516
11	Lokomotiva Plzen	7	1	6	547	643
12	BK Olomoucko	8	1	7	524	704

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brno	USK Praha
Lokomotiva Plzen	83-69 W	84-81 W
Usti Nad Labem	68-83 L	80-89 L
BK Decin	78-86 L	57-74 L
Slavia Praha ERA NBK	96-108 L	80-88 L
BK Opava	101-102 L	88-97 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Brno (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brno

LWLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	83-69	W
04/10	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	68-83	L
30/09	BK Decin Czechia NBL	78-86	L
26/09	Slavia Praha ERA NBK Czechia NBL	96-108	L
23/09	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	76-85	L
19/09	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	79-85	L
06/06	BK Opava Czechia NBL	101-102	L
04/06	BK Opava Czechia NBL	65-96	L
01/06	BK Opava Czechia NBL	99-97	W
27/05	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	87-98	L

USK Praha

LLLLLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	BK Opava Czechia NBL	88-97	L
03/10	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	105-89	W
30/09	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	84-81	W
26/09	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	80-89	L
23/09	BK Decin Czechia NBL	57-74	L
19/09	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	80-88	L
23/04	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	92-100	L
21/04	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	65-78	L
11/04	Slavia Praha ERA NBK Czechia NBL	76-81	L
04/04	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	65-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brno vs USK Praha?

Our model gives 64% to Brno.

How many points are expected in Brno vs USK Praha?

The model estimates 169 total points (Brno 87 · USK Praha 82).