Basketball · Denmark Basketligaen · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears

Team pages: Vaerlose · Bakken Bears

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.5Total

Vaerlose83.9

Bakken Bears88.6

1X2

37% 63%

Vaerlose Bakken Bears

Recent form · 10 last

Vaerlose 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLLLL

Bakken Bears 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Vaerlose 0–6 Bakken Bears (6 last)

Bakken Bears114-70Vaerlose
Vaerlose70-87Bakken Bears
Vaerlose73-98Bakken Bears
Bakken Bears96-81Vaerlose
Bakken Bears103-86Vaerlose
Vaerlose79-103Bakken Bears

Model analysis

Estimated points172.5Vaerlose 83.9 · Bakken Bears 88.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bakken Bears (rating 1431 vs 1613).
H2H favours Bakken Bears: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vaerlose	Bakken Bears
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.8 / 89.3	98.7 / 78.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.2 / 89.2	98.6 / 78
Est. result	84	89

Est. total172.5

Line O/U173.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vaerlose 0–0–6 Bakken Bears

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/01/26 Denmark Basketligaen	Bakken Bears	114-70	Vaerlose
29/12/25 Denmark Basketligaen	Vaerlose	70-87	Bakken Bears
12/01/25 Denmark Basketligaen	Vaerlose	73-98	Bakken Bears
19/10/24 Denmark Basketligaen	Bakken Bears	96-81	Vaerlose
15/04/24 Denmark Basketligaen	Bakken Bears	103-86	Vaerlose
21/03/24 Denmark Basketligaen	Vaerlose	79-103	Bakken Bears

Standings · Denmark Basketligaen

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Team FOG Naestved	5	5	0	511	333	10
2	Bakken Bears	4	4	0	406	309	8
3	Horsens IC	6	4	2	505	485	8
4	Svendborg Rabbits	6	4	2	529	480	8
5	Randers Cimbria	5	3	2	475	441	6
6	Copenhagen Basketball	4	2	2	300	306	4
7	Gladsaxe	6	2	4	476	511	4
8	Holbæk-Stenhus	6	2	4	466	544	4
9	BK Vejen	5	2	3	404	458	4
10	BMS Herlev	5	1	4	379	480	2
11	Vaerlose	5	1	4	406	446	2
12	Bears Academy	5	1	4	391	455	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vaerlose	Bakken Bears
Horsens IC	79-99 L	83-64 W
Randers Cimbria	85-89 L	103-86 W
Gladsaxe	88-78 W	112-75 W
Bears Academy	70-91 L	108-84 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bakken Bears (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vaerlose

LWLWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	BK Vejen Denmark Basketligaen	80-92	L
02/10	Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen	79-99	L
27/09	Randers Cimbria Denmark Basketligaen	85-89	L
22/09	Copenhagen Basketball Denmark Basketligaen	74-88	L
19/09	Gladsaxe Denmark Basketligaen	88-78	W
28/04	Bears Academy Denmark Basketligaen	70-91	L
23/04	Holbæk-Stenhus Denmark Basketligaen	89-83	W
19/04	BMS Herlev Denmark Basketligaen	74-97	L
12/04	BK Amager Denmark Basketligaen	96-90	W
08/04	BK Vejen Denmark Basketligaen	83-86	L

Bakken Bears

WWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Randers Cimbria Denmark Basketligaen	103-86	W
30/09	Gladsaxe Denmark Basketligaen	112-75	W
27/09	Bears Academy Denmark Basketligaen	108-84	W
24/09	Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen	83-64	W
25/05	Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen	87-81	W
21/05	Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen	98-86	W
18/05	Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen	91-81	W
14/05	Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen	92-93	L
04/05	Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen	110-67	W
30/04	Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen	103-64	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears?

Our model gives 63% to Bakken Bears.

How many points are expected in Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears?

The model estimates 172.5 total points (Vaerlose 83.9 · Bakken Bears 88.6).