Basketball · Denmark Basketligaen · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: Horsens IC vs Randers Cimbria

Team pages: Horsens IC · Randers Cimbria

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171.8Total

Horsens IC86.6

Randers Cimbria85.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Horsens IC Randers Cimbria

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Horsens IC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Randers Cimbria 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Horsens IC 2–4 Randers Cimbria (6 last)

Horsens IC87-82Randers Cimbria
Randers Cimbria82-77Horsens IC
Horsens IC76-78Randers Cimbria
Randers Cimbria89-76Horsens IC
Horsens IC62-83Randers Cimbria
Horsens IC83-81Randers Cimbria

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Horsens IC 1478 · Randers Cimbria 1565

	Horsens IC	Randers Cimbria
Our model	50%	50%
Market	55%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 171.8 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points171.8Horsens IC 86.6 · Randers Cimbria 85.2

Match keys

H2H favours Randers Cimbria: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Horsens IC	Randers Cimbria
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.3 / 89	96.5 / 83.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82.6 / 83	93.6 / 85.6
Est. result	87	85

Est. total171.8

Line O/U170.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.69

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.87

2 (+2.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 170.51.83

Under 170.51.83

Diff.: 3.6 · Est. total: 174.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.69 → 1.69	Pinn 1.72 ★
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
10:40 +6’	1.69	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
19:09 +41’	1.72	2.04
22:18 +29’	1.72	2.05▲
11:33 +13’	1.72	2.04▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Horsens IC 2–0–4 Randers Cimbria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Denmark Basketligaen	Horsens IC	87-82	Randers Cimbria
23/03/26 Denmark Basketligaen	Randers Cimbria	82-77	Horsens IC
06/02/26 Denmark Basketligaen	Horsens IC	76-78	Randers Cimbria
06/11/25 Denmark Basketligaen	Randers Cimbria	89-76	Horsens IC
12/05/25 Denmark Basketligaen	Horsens IC	62-83	Randers Cimbria
24/03/25 Denmark Basketligaen	Horsens IC	83-81	Randers Cimbria

Standings · Denmark Basketligaen

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Team FOG Naestved	6	6	0	618	415	12
2	Bakken Bears	5	5	0	529	391	10
3	Horsens IC	6	4	2	505	485	8
4	Svendborg Rabbits	6	4	2	529	480	8
5	Randers Cimbria	6	4	2	568	512	8
6	Copenhagen Basketball	5	3	2	378	372	6
7	Gladsaxe	6	2	4	476	511	4
8	Holbæk-Stenhus	6	2	4	466	544	4
9	BK Vejen	6	2	4	486	565	4
10	BMS Herlev	6	1	5	450	573	2
11	Vaerlose	6	1	5	488	569	2
12	Bears Academy	6	1	5	457	533	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Horsens IC	Randers Cimbria
Holbæk-Stenhus	97-83 W	100-84 W
Copenhagen Basketball	80-69 W	97-63 W
Vaerlose	99-79 W	89-85 W
Team FOG Naestved	73-101 L	122-94 W
Bakken Bears	64-83 L	86-103 L
Svendborg Rabbits	92-70 W	83-96 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Randers Cimbria (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Horsens IC

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/10	Holbæk-Stenhus Denmark Basketligaen	97-83	W
10/10	Copenhagen Basketball Denmark Basketligaen	80-69	W
02/10	Vaerlose Denmark Basketligaen	99-79	W
27/09	Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen	73-101	L
24/09	Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen	64-83	L
17/09	Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen	92-70	W
14/05	Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen	78-103	L
04/05	Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen	67-110	L
30/04	Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen	64-103	L
27/04	Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen	79-89	L

Randers Cimbria

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	BMS Herlev Denmark Basketligaen	93-71	W
10/10	Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen	86-103	L
03/10	Bears Academy Denmark Basketligaen	117-73	W
27/09	Vaerlose Denmark Basketligaen	89-85	W
23/09	Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen	83-96	L
17/09	Holbæk-Stenhus Denmark Basketligaen	100-84	W
20/04	Copenhagen Basketball Denmark Basketligaen	97-63	W
17/04	Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen	96-78	W
10/04	Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen	82-87	L
02/04	Team FOG Naestved Denmark Basketligaen	122-94	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Horsens IC vs Randers Cimbria?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Horsens IC 54% · Randers Cimbria 46%).

How many points are expected in Horsens IC vs Randers Cimbria?

The model estimates 171.8 total points (Horsens IC 86.6 · Randers Cimbria 85.2).