Basketball · Denmark Basketligaen · 10/10, 15:30
Prediction: BMS Herlev vs Team FOG Naestved
Team pages: Team FOG Naestved
Prediction summary
Estimated points
173.8Total
BMS Herlev85.7
Team FOG Naestved88.1
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
BMS Herlev
Team FOG Naestved
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Markets
Under 175.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
BMS Herlev
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Team FOG Naestved
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BMS Herlev
0–6
Team FOG Naestved
(6 last)
- Team FOG Naestved134-93BMS Herlev
- BMS Herlev84-101Team FOG Naestved
- BMS Herlev85-89Team FOG Naestved
- BMS Herlev73-102Team FOG Naestved
- Team FOG Naestved89-82BMS Herlev
- Team FOG Naestved118-70BMS Herlev
Model analysis
Estimated points173.8BMS Herlev 85.7 · Team FOG Naestved 88.1
Match keys
- H2H favours Team FOG Naestved: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| BMS Herlev | Team FOG Naestved | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.7 / 87.2 | 93 / 79.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.8 / 84.8 | 95 / 76 |
| Est. result | 86 | 88 |
Est. total173.8
Line O/U175.5
Diff.1.7
Over / Under20% / 80%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · BMS Herlev 0–0–6 Team FOG Naestved
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/25 Denmark Basketligaen | Team FOG Naestved | 134-93 | BMS Herlev |
| 20/11/25 Denmark Basketligaen | BMS Herlev | 84-101 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 12/12/24 Denmark Basketligaen | BMS Herlev | 85-89 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 30/11/24 Denmark Cup | BMS Herlev | 73-102 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 26/09/24 Denmark Basketligaen | Team FOG Naestved | 89-82 | BMS Herlev |
| 28/12/23 Denmark Basketligaen | Team FOG Naestved | 118-70 | BMS Herlev |
Standings · Denmark Basketligaen
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Svendborg Rabbits | 5 | 4 | 1 | 446 | 394 | 8 |
| 2 | Team FOG Naestved | 3 | 3 | 0 | 308 | 195 | 6 |
| 3 | Bakken Bears | 3 | 3 | 0 | 303 | 223 | 6 |
| 4 | Randers Cimbria | 4 | 3 | 1 | 389 | 338 | 6 |
| 5 | Copenhagen Basketball | 3 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 226 | 4 |
| 6 | Horsens IC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 328 | 333 | 4 |
| 7 | Bears Academy | 4 | 1 | 3 | 324 | 367 | 2 |
| 8 | Gladsaxe | 5 | 1 | 4 | 387 | 439 | 2 |
| 9 | Vaerlose | 4 | 1 | 3 | 326 | 354 | 2 |
| 10 | Holbæk-Stenhus | 4 | 1 | 3 | 295 | 380 | 2 |
| 11 | BK Vejen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 240 | 289 | 2 |
| 12 | BMS Herlev | 4 | 1 | 3 | 324 | 363 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BMS Herlev
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Holbæk-Stenhus Denmark Basketligaen |
77-80 | L |
| 26/09 | BK Vejen Denmark Basketligaen |
95-106 | L |
| 23/09 | Gladsaxe Denmark Basketligaen |
70-102 | L |
| 20/09 | Bears Academy Denmark Basketligaen |
82-75 | W |
| 23/04 | BK Amager Denmark Basketligaen |
75-61 | W |
| 19/04 | Vaerlose Denmark Basketligaen |
97-74 | W |
| 11/04 | BK Vejen Denmark Basketligaen |
89-110 | L |
| 08/04 | Bears Academy Denmark Basketligaen |
60-103 | L |
| 01/04 | Holbæk-Stenhus Denmark Basketligaen |
65-80 | L |
| 28/03 | Bears Academy Denmark Basketligaen |
57-81 | L |
Team FOG Naestved
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Copenhagen Basketball Denmark Basketligaen |
90-66 | W |
| 27/09 | Horsens IC Denmark Basketligaen |
101-73 | W |
| 24/09 | Holbæk-Stenhus Denmark Basketligaen |
117-56 | W |
| 25/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
81-87 | L |
| 21/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
86-98 | L |
| 18/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
81-91 | L |
| 14/05 | Bakken Bears Denmark Basketligaen |
93-92 | W |
| 07/05 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
95-80 | W |
| 04/05 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
111-87 | W |
| 30/04 | Svendborg Rabbits Denmark Basketligaen |
75-63 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BMS Herlev vs Team FOG Naestved?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (BMS Herlev 43% · Team FOG Naestved 57%).
How many points are expected in BMS Herlev vs Team FOG Naestved?
The model estimates 173.8 total points (BMS Herlev 85.7 · Team FOG Naestved 88.1).