Prediction: Tabare (W) vs 25 de Agosto (W)
Estimated 139.5 total points (Tabare (W) 78.6 · 25 de Agosto (W) 60.9).
Over its last 10 matches, Tabare (W) sits at 5-0-5 (W-D-L), while 25 de Agosto (W) arrives on a 0-0-10 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Tabare (W) and 4 for 25 de Agosto (W).
| Tabare (W) | 25 de Agosto (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 22% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tabare (W) (rating 1491 vs 1359).
- Tabare (W) is a clear favourite (87% market).
- H2H favours 25 de Agosto (W): 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tabare (W) | 25 de Agosto (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 65 / 60 | 51 / 74.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 57.2 / 61 | 59.2 / 79.2 |
| Est. result | 79 | 61 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabare (W) 2–0–4 25 de Agosto (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/26 Uruguay Liga Women | 25 de Agosto (W) | 52-80 | Tabare (W) |
| 03/05/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Tabare (W) | 99-31 | 25 de Agosto (W) |
| 03/08/25 Uruguay Liga Women | 25 de Agosto (W) | 56-42 | Tabare (W) |
| 29/06/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Tabare (W) | 34-78 | 25 de Agosto (W) |
| 20/05/25 Uruguay Liga Women | 25 de Agosto (W) | 89-43 | Tabare (W) |
| 22/09/24 Uruguay Liga Women | Tabare (W) | 46-73 | 25 de Agosto (W) |
Standings · Uruguay Liga Women · LFB, Women 2026, Qualifying Round
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urunday Universitario (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 175 | 6 |
| 2 | Tabare (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 171 | 5 |
| 3 | Cordon (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 181 | 208 | 4 |
| 4 | 25 de Agosto (W) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 186 | 232 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tabare (W) | 25 de Agosto (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Urunday Universitario (W) | 54-69 L | 66-76 L |
| Cordon (W) | 60-50 W | 68-76 L |
| Defensor Sporting (W) | 48-78 L | 45-80 L |
| Lagomar (W) | 44-56 L | 44-70 L |
| Malvin (W) | 49-72 L | 38-111 L |
| Aguada (W) | 60-68 L | 61-71 L |
| Club Yale Women | 85-68 W | 20-29 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Tabare (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tabare (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
54-69 | L |
| 14/06 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
60-50 | W |
| 08/06 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
80-52 | W |
| 31/05 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
48-78 | L |
| 28/05 | Lagomar (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
44-56 | L |
| 22/05 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
49-72 | L |
| 18/05 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
60-68 | L |
| 14/05 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
71-56 | W |
| 10/05 | Club Yale Women Uruguay Liga Women |
85-68 | W |
| 03/05 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
99-31 | W |
25 de Agosto (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
68-76 | L |
| 14/06 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
66-76 | L |
| 08/06 | Tabare (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
52-80 | L |
| 01/06 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
65-84 | L |
| 28/05 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
45-80 | L |
| 21/05 | Lagomar (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
44-70 | L |
| 18/05 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
38-111 | L |
| 14/05 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
61-71 | L |
| 11/05 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
51-66 | L |
| 07/05 | Club Yale Women Uruguay Liga Women |
20-29 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tabare (W) vs 25 de Agosto (W)?
Our model gives 87% to Tabare (W).
How many points are expected in Tabare (W) vs 25 de Agosto (W)?
The model estimates 139.5 total points (Tabare (W) 78.6 · 25 de Agosto (W) 60.9).