Basketball · Uruguay Liga Women · 12/07, 02:15
Prediction: Urunday Universitario (W) vs 25 de Agosto (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
144.1Total
Urunday Universitario (W)78.6
25 de Agosto (W)65.5
1X2
Urunday Universitario (W)
25 de Agosto (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Urunday Universitario (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
25 de Agosto (W)
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Urunday Universitario (W)
5–1
25 de Agosto (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Urunday Universitario (W) 1535 · 25 de Agosto (W) 1353
| Urunday Universitario (W) | 25 de Agosto (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 83% | 17% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
144.1 points · Bet365 line 130.5 · +13.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points144.1Urunday Universitario (W) 78.6 · 25 de Agosto (W) 65.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Urunday Universitario (W) (rating 1535 vs 1353).
- Urunday Universitario (W) is a clear favourite (91% market).
- H2H favours Urunday Universitario (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Urunday Universitario (W) | 25 de Agosto (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 68.1 / 66 | 54.3 / 79.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.2 / 60.2 | 60.8 / 78.8 |
| Est. result | 79 | 66 |
Est. total144.1
Line O/U130.5
Diff.13.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Urunday Universitario (W) 5–0–1 25 de Agosto (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Uruguay Liga Women | 25 de Agosto (W) | 66-76 | Urunday Universitario (W) |
| 01/06/26 Uruguay Liga Women | 25 de Agosto (W) | 65-84 | Urunday Universitario (W) |
| 02/10/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Urunday Universitario (W) | 67-66 | 25 de Agosto (W) |
| 21/09/25 Uruguay Liga Women | 25 de Agosto (W) | 58-60 | Urunday Universitario (W) |
| 24/08/25 Uruguay Liga Women | 25 de Agosto (W) | 74-91 | Urunday Universitario (W) |
| 13/07/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Urunday Universitario (W) | 53-60 | 25 de Agosto (W) |
Standings · Uruguay Liga Women · LFB, Women 2026, Qualifying Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urunday Universitario (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 292 | 236 | 8 |
| 2 | Tabare (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 272 | 224 | 7 |
| 3 | Cordon (W) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 242 | 275 | 5 |
| 4 | 25 de Agosto (W) | 4 | 0 | 4 | 239 | 310 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Urunday Universitario (W) | 25 de Agosto (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Cordon (W) | 67-61 W | 68-76 L |
| Tabare (W) | 69-54 W | 53-78 L |
| Defensor Sporting (W) | 60-74 L | 45-80 L |
| Lagomar (W) | 56-70 L | 44-70 L |
| Malvin (W) | 48-87 L | 38-111 L |
| Aguada (W) | 74-79 L | 61-71 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Urunday Universitario (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Urunday Universitario (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
67-61 | W |
| 26/06 | Tabare (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
69-54 | W |
| 14/06 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
76-66 | W |
| 07/06 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
80-55 | W |
| 01/06 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
84-65 | W |
| 22/05 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
60-74 | L |
| 18/05 | Lagomar (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
56-70 | L |
| 14/05 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
48-87 | L |
| 11/05 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
74-79 | L |
| 07/05 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
67-49 | W |
25 de Agosto (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Tabare (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
53-78 | L |
| 23/06 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
68-76 | L |
| 14/06 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
66-76 | L |
| 08/06 | Tabare (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
52-80 | L |
| 01/06 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
65-84 | L |
| 28/05 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
45-80 | L |
| 21/05 | Lagomar (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
44-70 | L |
| 18/05 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
38-111 | L |
| 14/05 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
61-71 | L |
| 11/05 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
51-66 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Urunday Universitario (W) vs 25 de Agosto (W)?
Our model gives 91% to Urunday Universitario (W).
How many points are expected in Urunday Universitario (W) vs 25 de Agosto (W)?
The model estimates 144.1 total points (Urunday Universitario (W) 78.6 · 25 de Agosto (W) 65.5).